SPAIN › COPA DEL REY
04.02.2026 20:00
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Referee: A. Quintero
Alaves
Match Timeline
Real Sociedad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
A. Rebbach · Assist: A. Manas
Alaves
⚽
15'
M. Oyarzabal · Assist: G. Guedes
Real Sociedad
🟨
28'
Beñat Turrientes
Real Sociedad
⚽
29'
T. Martinez
Alaves
🟨
37'
Gonçalo Guedes
Real Sociedad
🟨
45+1'
Aihen Muñoz
Real Sociedad
🔄
59'
C. Soler ↔ L. Sucic
Real Sociedad
🔄
59'
J. Aramburu ↔ A. Odriozola
Real Sociedad
VAR
65'
Toni Martínez
Alaves
🟨
66'
Duje Ćaleta-Car
Real Sociedad
🔄
71'
A. Manas ↔ L. Boye
Alaves
🔄
71'
Calebe ↔ P. Ibanez
Alaves
🔄
74'
B. Mendez ↔ O. Oskarsson
Real Sociedad
🔄
74'
A. Munoz ↔ D. Diaz
Real Sociedad
🟨
75'
Ander Guevara
Alaves
⚽
76'
G. Guedes · Assist: B. Turrientes
Real Sociedad
⚽
80'
O. Oskarsson · Assist: L. Sucic
Real Sociedad
🟨
83'
Lucas Boyé
Alaves
🔄
84'
A. Rebbach ↔ A. Perez
Alaves
🔄
84'
D. Suarez ↔ C. Alena
Alaves
🟨
90+8'
Pablo Ibáñez
Alaves
🔄
90+1'
A. Guevara ↔ J. Guridi
Alaves
🔄
90+2'
G. Guedes ↔ I. Zubeldia
Real Sociedad

Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Sociedad Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.27
Real Sociedad1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves Alaves
WWDLW
33 GF / 27 GA
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WLDWL
39 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
12
BTTS Yes
20
12
Over 2.5
15
3.96
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alaves Alaves 26 matches
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 26 matches
Alaves Statistic Real Sociedad
11 Wins 10
4 Draws 8
11 Losses 8
33 Goals For 39
27 Goals Against 33
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
12 BTTS Yes 20
16 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 3
3.96 Shots On Goal 4.81
11.04 Total Shots 12.65
4.92 Corners 5.42
48.4% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 4 times, Real Sociedad won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Alaves's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Alaves 4-4-2 / Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alaves wins 4, draws 5, Real Sociedad wins 6