Alaves vs Malaga H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsAlaves vs Malaga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Alaves
Malaga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
13 matches
Malaga
14 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 1 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 19 | Goals For | 18 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.07 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.78 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.78 | Total Shots | 11.33 |
| 3.78 | Corners | 5.56 |
| 42.1% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alaves's more proactive style and Malaga's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alaves expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Malaga in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malaga having the stronger overall control. Alaves have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Alaves arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 11 points compared to Malaga in 20 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Malaga. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 11 points from 8 games and a place of 7, Alaves still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 12:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Boyé (5 goals), M. Díaz (3 goals), N. Tenaglia (1 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (3 assists), Angel Pérez (3 assists), Sivera (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Malaga approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 4 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Adrián Niño Heredia (2 goals), Chupe (1 goals), Carlos Dotor (1 goals), with creative support from Rafita (1 assists), Pablo Martínez (1 assists), Juan Cruz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 4 times, Malaga won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Alaves's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | 30 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Alaves
Home
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 8 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 7 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Malaga
Away
|
9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
D
|