Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
78.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Alaves
Barcelona
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
40 matches
Barcelona
52 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 41 |
| 10 | Draws | 3 |
| 17 | Losses | 8 |
| 56 | Goals For | 132 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.54 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 49 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 39 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 7.02 |
| 11.7 | Total Shots | 18.23 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 6.73 |
| 48.4% | Ball Possession | 67.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Barcelona's more proactive style and Alaves's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alaves expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Barcelona in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barcelona having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Barcelona. Barcelona carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 91 points while Alaves sit 18 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Barcelona look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Alaves sit 18 with 37 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 41:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Martinez (12 goals), L. Boye (11 goals), C. Vicente (5 goals), with creative support from C. Alena (4 assists), T. Martinez (3 assists), A. Perez (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without F. Garces, L. Boye, J. Guridi, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Operating from 1 place with 91 points from 35 games, Barcelona bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 30 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 91:31, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Torres (16 goals), Lamine Yamal (16 goals), R. Lewandowski (13 goals), with creative support from Lamine Yamal (11 assists), F. Lopez (9 assists), M. Rashford (8 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without A. Christensen, Raphinha, Lamine Yamal, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 1 times, Barcelona won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:36 from Alaves's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Alaves
3
0
3
5
3
3
Lineups
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Levante
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Valencia
Barcelona
Real Betis
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Osasuna
Barcelona
Getafe
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Espanyol
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Newcastle
Barcelona
Sevilla
Barcelona
Newcastle
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Villarreal
Barcelona
Levante
Barcelona
Girona
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Valencia
Barcelona
Osasuna
Barcelona
Getafe
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Newcastle
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Girona
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Albacete
Barcelona
Elche
Barcelona
Slavia Praha
Barcelona
Real Sociedad
Barcelona
Racing Santander
Barcelona
Espanyol
Barcelona
Villarreal
Barcelona
Guadalajara
Barcelona
Real Betis
Barcelona
Chelsea
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
Away
|
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Alaves
Home
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|