Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Alaves
Athletic Club
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
38 matches
Athletic Club
46 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 17 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 22 |
| 53 | Goals For | 52 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 68 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.24 |
| 11.82 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 4.95 | Corners | 5.46 |
| 48.7% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Athletic Club. Athletic Club arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alaves expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Athletic Club in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 36 points from 33 games and a place of 16, Alaves still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 38:49 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Boye (11 goals), T. Martinez (11 goals), C. Vicente (5 goals), with creative support from C. Alena (4 assists), T. Martinez (3 assists), Victor Parada (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 41 points from 33 games and a place of 10, Athletic Club still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 36:48 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gorka Guruzeta (9 goals), R. Navarro (5 goals), N. Williams (4 goals), with creative support from I. Williams (4 assists), Yuri Berchiche (4 assists), Álex Berenguer (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 4 times, Athletic Club won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from Alaves's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Alaves
4
4
1
4
2
1
Lineups
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Levante
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Valencia
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Getafe
Athletic Club
Real Betis
Athletic Club
Girona
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Elche
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Levante
Athletic Club
Valencia
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Barcelona
Alaves
Mallorca
Alaves
Osasuna
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
Girona
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Real Betis
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Oviedo
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Sociedad
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Espanyol
Alaves
Valencia
Alaves
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Getafe
Athletic Club
Girona
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Valencia
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Athletic Club
Atalanta
Athletic Club
Mallorca
Athletic Club
Cultural Leonesa
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Ourense CF
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Levante
Athletic Club
Slavia Praha
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Newcastle
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Athletic Club
Away
|
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Alaves
Home
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|