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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
23.10.2026 17:00
Alanya Oba Stadium

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Alanyaspor Win 65.3%
Draw 14%
Kocaelispor Win 20.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alanyaspor1.12
Kocaelispor1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
WLDWL
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 10 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 8 matches
Alanyaspor Statistic Kocaelispor
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 0
2 Losses 4
12 Goals For 8
11 Goals Against 8
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.29
11.63 Total Shots 12.14
5 Corners 3.43
42.8% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alanyaspor expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Kocaelispor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kocaelispor having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kocaelispor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Alanyaspor Analysis

So far, Alanyaspor have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 12 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gaius Makouta (2 goals), Arda Usluoğlu (2 goals), Ruan Pereira Duarte (1 goals), with creative support from Florent Hadergjonaj (2 assists), Ruan Pereira Duarte (1 assists), Iván Cédric (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Kocaelispor Analysis

So far, Kocaelispor have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 12 points from 7 matches. The record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 8:6 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Berkan Kutlu (2 goals), Show (1 goals), Massadio Haïdara (1 goals), with creative support from Gonçalo Sousa (2 assists), Berkan Kutlu (1 assists), Show (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Alanyaspor won 2 times, Kocaelispor won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Alanyaspor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Alanyaspor 3-4-3 / Kocaelispor 4-3-3
H2H summary: Alanyaspor wins 2, draws 0, Kocaelispor wins 1

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 17:11 6 19
W W L W W
2 8 5 2 1 18:9 9 17
W D W W D
3 8 5 1 2 22:6 16 16
W W W D L
4 7 5 0 2 16:8 8 15
W L W W W
5 7 4 1 2 16:5 11 13
W W L W L
6 8 4 1 3 18:13 5 13
W W L W W
7 7 4 0 3 8:6 2 12
L W L W W
8 8 3 3 2 8:9 -1 12
L D W D W
9 8 3 2 3 5:11 -6 11
W D W L W
10 7 2 4 1 8:8 0 10
L D W D D
11 8 3 1 4 8:11 -3 10
L L D W L
12 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
D W L L D
13 7 2 2 3 7:10 -3 8
L L D W L
14 8 2 2 4 7:16 -9 8
L D L L L
15 7 1 3 3 15:15 0 6
W D D L L
16 8 1 2 5 4:9 -5 5
L D D W L
17 7 1 1 5 6:15 -9 4
L L L L L
18 8 1 0 7 2:22 -20 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig