TURKEY SüPER LIG
09.05.2026 17:00
Alanya Oba Stadium
Referee: Y. Kol
Alanyaspor
Match Timeline
Kayserispor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
M. Elia
Alanyaspor
13'
L. Benes · Assist: M. Cardoso
Kayserispor
40'
F. Hadergjonaj
Alanyaspor
🟨
51'
Ramazan Civelek
Kayserispor
🔄
54'
F. Soyalp ↔ F. Chalov
Kayserispor
🔄
55'
R. Civelek ↔ J. Mendes
Kayserispor
61'
I. Kaya · Assist: F. Hadergjonaj
Alanyaspor
🟨
63'
Nicolas Janvier
Alanyaspor
🔄
63'
D. Tokoz ↔ G. Saglam
Kayserispor
🔄
71'
I. Kaya ↔ I. Hagi
Alanyaspor
🟨
77'
Semih Güler
Kayserispor
🔄
78'
N. Janvier ↔ I. Celik
Alanyaspor
🔄
78'
Hwang Ui-Jo ↔ G. Yalcin
Alanyaspor
🔄
80'
I. Tuci ↔ D. Makarov
Kayserispor
🟨
85'
Gaius Makouta
Alanyaspor
🔄
87'
M. Elia ↔ E. Karaca
Alanyaspor
🔄
88'
E. Keskin ↔ B. Mogultay
Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alanyaspor Win 92%
Draw 0%
Kayserispor Win 8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alanyaspor1.42
Kayserispor0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
WWDLW
37 GF / 38 GA
Kayserispor Kayserispor
WLDWL
24 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
19
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
15
3.97
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 32 matches
Kayserispor Kayserispor 32 matches
Alanyaspor Statistic Kayserispor
6 Wins 5
16 Draws 12
10 Losses 15
37 Goals For 24
38 Goals Against 58
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
19 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 13
3.97 Shots On Goal 3.81
12.44 Total Shots 12.09
4.81 Corners 5.19
48% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Kayserispor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kayserispor. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alanyaspor expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Kayserispor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kayserispor having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Alanyaspor Analysis

Alanyaspor are currently 12 in the standings with 34 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 16 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 37:38 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Güven Yalçın (8 goals), F. Hadergjonaj (5 goals), I. Kaya (5 goals), with creative support from F. Hadergjonaj (7 assists), Hwang Ui-Jo (6 assists), Ianis Hagi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kayserispor Analysis

With 27 points from 32 games and a place of 17, Kayserispor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 24:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through German Onugkha (8 goals), L. Benes (5 goals), I. Tuci (3 goals), with creative support from M. Cardoso (5 assists), J. Mendes (4 assists), L. Benes (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alanyaspor won 9 times, Kayserispor won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from Alanyaspor's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Alanyaspor 3-4-3 / Kayserispor 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Alanyaspor 5, Kayserispor 5
H2H summary: Alanyaspor wins 9, draws 3, Kayserispor wins 3

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation