Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al Shabab
30 matches
Al-Nassr
31 matches
| Al Shabab | Statistic | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 26 |
| 11 | Draws | 1 |
| 12 | Losses | 4 |
| 38 | Goals For | 82 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.65 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 7.1 |
| 13.07 | Total Shots | 18.42 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 7.03 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Al-Nassr's more proactive style and Al Shabab's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Nassr. Al-Nassr carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 79 points while Al Shabab sit 13 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Al-Nassr look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Shabab expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Nassr in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Nassr having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Al Shabab sit 13 with 32 points after 30 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 38:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Carrasco (15 goals), A. Hamdallah (6 goals), J. Brownhill (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Carrasco (5 assists), A. Hamdallah (2 assists), J. Brownhill (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Al-Nassr come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 79 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 26 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 82:24 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on C. Ronaldo (25 goals), Joao Felix (17 goals), K. Coman (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Felix (12 assists), K. Coman (10 assists), Angelo (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 12 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al Shabab won 3 times, Al-Nassr won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:35 from Al Shabab's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.
Al Shabab
3
5
5
5
2
5
Lineups
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al Okhdood
Al Shabab
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Damac
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Shabab
Al Kholood
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al Okhdood
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al Shabab
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Shabab
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
Damac
Al Shabab
Al Kholood
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr
Away
|
34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Al Shabab
Home
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|