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19.10.2026 18:00
Al-Shabab Club Stadium
Referee: Khaled Al Teris, Saudi Arabia
Al Shabab
Match Timeline
Al-Faisaly FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
J. Brownhill
Al Shabab
⚽
30'
J. Brownhill · Assist: R. B. Martinez Tobinson
Al Shabab
⚽
38'
Andrei Girotto · Assist: J. Seoane
Al-Faisaly FC
🟨
45+4'
Tin Jedvaj
Al Shabab
🔄
46'
D. Podence ↔ A. Al Nashri
Al Shabab
🔄
46'
J. Seoane ↔ C. Bassogog
Al-Faisaly FC
🟨
54'
Dhari Al-Enezi
Al Shabab
🟨
57'
Awad Al-Nashri
Al Shabab
🟨
58'
Abdullah Almogren
Al-Faisaly FC
🔄
64'
A. Al Bishi ↔ E. Al Muwallad
Al-Faisaly FC
🔄
64'
A. Al Mogren ↔ T. Bongonda
Al-Faisaly FC
🔄
67'
A. Subayt ↔ M. Jahfali
Al-Faisaly FC
🔄
74'
M. Al Shanqiti ↔ A. Al Shereaf
Al-Faisaly FC
🔄
76'
A. Matuq ↔ A. Al Oboud
Al Shabab
⚽
79'
A. Mendy · Assist: A. Al Shereaf
Al-Faisaly FC
🟨
90+6'
Mohammed Jahfali
Al-Faisaly FC

Al Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Shabab Win 44.4%
Draw 25.4%
Al-Faisaly FC Win 30.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Shabab1.58
Al-Faisaly FC1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Shabab Al Shabab
W D L L D
5 GF / 5 GA
Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC
W L D D L
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Shabab Al Shabab 11 matches
Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 9 matches
Al Shabab Statistic Al-Faisaly FC
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
16 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 16
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.13
12.63 Total Shots 8.38
6 Corners 2.38
48.9% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Faisaly FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Shabab expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Faisaly FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Faisaly FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Al Shabab Analysis

Al Shabab sit 12 with 7 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Carrasco (3 goals), Roger Martínez (2 goals), J. Brownhill (1 goals), with creative support from J. Brownhill (2 assists), Y. Carrasco (1 assists), Ricardo Mathias (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Faisaly FC Analysis

Al-Faisaly FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 3 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Bongonda (2 goals), Alexandre Mendy (1 goals), C. Bassogog (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandre Mendy (1 assists), C. Bassogog (1 assists), Andrei Girotto (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Al Shabab won 4 times, Al-Faisaly FC won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Al Shabab's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Al Shabab 4-4-2 / Al-Faisaly FC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Al Shabab wins 4, draws 5, Al-Faisaly FC wins 3

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 10 0 1 32:9 23 30
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 32:12 20 28
W L W W W
3 11 9 1 1 28:11 17 28
W W W W D
4 11 7 3 1 21:11 10 24
D W W L W
5 12 7 1 4 18:10 8 22
W W L L D
6 11 7 0 4 28:19 9 21
L W W W W
7 12 5 4 3 18:17 1 19
D W L W D
8 12 4 3 5 10:13 -3 15
L L W D L
9 12 3 6 3 14:19 -5 15
W L W W D
10 11 3 5 3 20:15 5 14
W W D W D
11 11 3 3 5 17:26 -9 12
L L L L L
12 11 3 3 5 11:25 -14 12
L W L D W
13 12 2 5 5 16:20 -4 11
W D L L D
14 12 2 4 6 14:20 -6 10
L D L L D
15 12 2 4 6 13:24 -11 10
L W L D W
16 12 1 3 8 10:25 -15 6
L L L W L
17 12 0 5 7 6:20 -14 5
D L L D L
18 11 0 3 8 7:19 -12 3
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1