SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
13.09.2026 18:00
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds 3.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
3.37
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.86
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.2%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Al Riyadh Win 54.3%
Draw 10.1%
Al Kholood Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Riyadh1.26
Al Kholood1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WWDLW
8 GF / 18 GA
Al Kholood Al Kholood
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.56
2.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
3
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
5
2.33
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 7 matches
Al Kholood Al Kholood 9 matches
Al Riyadh Statistic Al Kholood
1 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
8 Goals For 14
18 Goals Against 13
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
2.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
3 BTTS Yes 8
5 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
2.33 Shots On Goal 4.5
10 Total Shots 10.83
3.17 Corners 3.33
37.5% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Al Kholood's more proactive style and Al Riyadh's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al Kholood. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Riyadh expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Al Kholood in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Kholood having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Al Riyadh have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Al Kholood carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 9 points while Al Riyadh sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al Riyadh Analysis

Al Riyadh approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 4 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 6:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Okou (3 goals), Bernard Mensah (1 goals), Mahmoud Trézéguet (1 goals), with creative support from Bernard Mensah (1 assists), Mahmoud Trézéguet (1 assists), Leandro Antunes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Kholood Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Al Kholood have collected 9 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Domingues (3 goals), Iker Kortajarena (3 goals), E. Utkus (1 goals), with creative support from Coba (2 assists), J. Domingues (1 assists), Iker Kortajarena (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Al Riyadh won 3 times, Al Kholood won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Al Riyadh's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Al Riyadh 4-1-4-1 / Al Kholood 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al Riyadh wins 3, draws 2, Al Kholood wins 3

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D W L W W
4 7 5 1 1 16:8 8 16
D W W W W
5 7 4 0 3 16:10 6 12
W L W L L
6 6 4 0 2 9:4 5 12
W W L L W
7 6 3 3 0 12:8 4 12
W D W D W
8 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
9 6 3 1 2 7:5 2 10
W L W D W
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
12 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
13 6 1 2 3 6:16 -10 5
D L W D L
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 6 0 3 3 2:7 -5 3
L D D D L
16 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
17 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
18 6 0 1 5 5:13 -8 1
L L L D L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1