Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al Riyadh
31 matches
Al-Fateh
31 matches
| Al Riyadh | Statistic | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 18 | Losses | 14 |
| 32 | Goals For | 39 |
| 62 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.74 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.9 | Shots On Goal | 4.74 |
| 12.45 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 5.23 |
| 42.5% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Riyadh expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Fateh in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fateh having the stronger overall control. Al Riyadh have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Fateh. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Al Riyadh approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 23 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 32:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Sylla (9 goals), Toze (8 goals), L. Antunes (6 goals), with creative support from Teddy Okou (6 assists), Toze (5 assists), Ismaila Soro (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Al-Fateh sit 12 with 33 points after 30 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Batna (9 goals), S. Bendebka (8 goals), Matías Vargas (7 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (8 assists), Matías Vargas (3 assists), F. Al Zubaidi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Al Riyadh won 2 times, Al-Fateh won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Al Riyadh's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Al Riyadh
4
6
7
3
3
2
Lineups
Al Riyadh
Al Okhdood
Al Riyadh
Al Taawon
Al Riyadh
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Riyadh
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
Al-Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Riyadh
Damac
Al Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Kholood
Al Riyadh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Riyadh
NEOM
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Riyadh
Al Okhdood
Al Riyadh
Al Taawon
Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
NEOM
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
Damac
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Fayha
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh
Al Okhdood
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Riyadh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Riyadh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Riyadh
Al Taawon
Al Riyadh
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
Al-Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
Damac
Al Riyadh
Al Kholood
Al Riyadh
NEOM
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Fayha
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
NEOM
Al-Fateh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Damac
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Ittihad FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Al-Fateh
Away
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Al Riyadh
Home
|
34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|