SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Referee: S. Al Harbi
Al Riyadh
Match Timeline
Al-Fateh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Saeed Baattia
Al-Fateh
🟨
17'
Wesley Delgado
Al-Fateh
🟨
29'
Yoann Barbet
Al Riyadh
🟨
42'
Jorge Fernandes
Al-Fateh
🔄
46'
Wesley Delgado ↔ A. Al Anazi
Al-Fateh
47'
M. Sylla · Assist: T. Okou
Al Riyadh
🟨
67'
Tozé
Al Riyadh
🔄
68'
S. Baattia ↔ Bin Mahmoud
Al-Fateh
🔄
68'
M. Vargas ↔ M. Al Aboud
Al-Fateh
🔄
79'
M. Sylla ↔ A. Al Harfi
Al Riyadh
🔄
81'
S. Bendebka ↔ S. Al Sharfa
Al-Fateh
🟨
86'
Teddy Okou
Al Riyadh
🔄
89'
T. Okou ↔ H. A. Bahri E.
Al Riyadh
🔄
89'
J. Fernandes ↔ M. Refaat
Al-Fateh
🟨
90+4'
Abdullah Al-Anazi
Al-Fateh
🔄
90+6'
L. Antunes ↔ S. Haroun
Al Riyadh

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Riyadh Win 47.2%
Draw 0%
Al-Fateh Win 52.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Riyadh1.31
Al-Fateh1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WWDLW
32 GF / 62 GA
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
WLDWL
39 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.26
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
21
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
15
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 31 matches
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 31 matches
Al Riyadh Statistic Al-Fateh
5 Wins 8
8 Draws 9
18 Losses 14
32 Goals For 39
62 Goals Against 54
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
21 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 24
17 Over 2.5 15
12 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 6
3.9 Shots On Goal 4.74
12.45 Total Shots 12.52
5.13 Corners 5.23
42.5% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Riyadh expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Fateh in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fateh having the stronger overall control. Al Riyadh have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Fateh. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Al Riyadh Analysis

Al Riyadh approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 23 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 32:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Sylla (9 goals), Toze (8 goals), L. Antunes (6 goals), with creative support from Teddy Okou (6 assists), Toze (5 assists), Ismaila Soro (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Fateh Analysis

Al-Fateh sit 12 with 33 points after 30 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Batna (9 goals), S. Bendebka (8 goals), Matías Vargas (7 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (8 assists), Matías Vargas (3 assists), F. Al Zubaidi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Al Riyadh won 2 times, Al-Fateh won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Al Riyadh's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al Riyadh 4-2-3-1 / Al-Fateh 3-5-2
H2H summary: Al Riyadh wins 2, draws 3, Al-Fateh wins 2

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
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