Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al Riyadh
31 matches
Al-Fateh
31 matches
| Al Riyadh | Statistic | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 18 | Losses | 14 |
| 32 | Goals For | 39 |
| 62 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.74 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.9 | Shots On Goal | 4.74 |
| 12.45 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 5.23 |
| 42.5% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Riyadh expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Fateh in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fateh having the stronger overall control. Al Riyadh have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Fateh. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Al Riyadh approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 23 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 32:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Sylla (9 goals), Toze (8 goals), L. Antunes (6 goals), with creative support from Teddy Okou (6 assists), Toze (5 assists), Ismaila Soro (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Al-Fateh sit 12 with 33 points after 30 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Batna (9 goals), S. Bendebka (8 goals), Matías Vargas (7 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (8 assists), Matías Vargas (3 assists), F. Al Zubaidi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Al Riyadh won 2 times, Al-Fateh won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Al Riyadh's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Al-Fateh
Away
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Al Riyadh
Home
|
34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|