SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium
Referee: H. Osmers
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Match Timeline
Al-Nassr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
M. Abu Al Shamat · Assist: C. Bonsu Baah
Al-Qadisiyah FC
39'
Joao Felix · Assist: M. Brozovic
Al-Nassr
🟨
41'
Iñigo Martínez
Al-Nassr
🟨
46'
Otávio
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🟨
49'
João Félix
Al-Nassr
55'
M. Al Juwayr · Assist: J. Quinones
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🔄
67'
A. Al Khaibari ↔ A. Yahya
Al-Nassr
🔄
70'
A. Al Salem ↔ Gabriel Carvalho
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🔄
73'
M. Al Juwayr ↔ A. A. Hazazi
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🔄
76'
Angelo ↔ S. Al Nasser
Al-Nassr
78'
J. Quinones
Al-Qadisiyah FC
🔄
85'
N. Boushal ↔ S. Al Ghannam
Al-Nassr
🔄
85'
K. Coman ↔ A. Al Hamdan
Al-Nassr
🔄
86'
I. Martinez ↔ A. Ghareeb
Al-Nassr
🟨
89'
Ayman Yahya
Al-Nassr

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al-Qadisiyah FC Win 36.5%
Draw 0%
Al-Nassr Win 63.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Qadisiyah FC1.7
Al-Nassr2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
WWDLW
71 GF / 31 GA
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
WLDWL
81 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.37
Average Goals Scored
2.7
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
20
BTTS Yes
13
21
Over 2.5
19
5.23
Shots on Goal
7.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 30 matches
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 30 matches
Al-Qadisiyah FC Statistic Al-Nassr
19 Wins 26
8 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
71 Goals For 81
31 Goals Against 21
2.37 Avg Goals Scored 2.7
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
20 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 19
17 Over 3.5 14
9 Clean Sheets 17
2 Failed To Score 0
5.23 Shots On Goal 7.27
14.87 Total Shots 18.63
7.6 Corners 7.1
60.4% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Nassr look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Qadisiyah FC expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Al-Nassr in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Nassr having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Nassr. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Al-Qadisiyah FC Analysis

Al-Qadisiyah FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 65 points after 30 matches. The record of 19 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 71:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Quinones (28 goals), M. Retegui (16 goals), N. Nandez (8 goals), with creative support from C. Bonsu Baah (10 assists), M. Al Juwayr (9 assists), M. Abu Al Shamat (8 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Al-Nassr Analysis

Al-Nassr come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 79 points after 30 matches. The return of 26 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 81:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Ronaldo (25 goals), Joao Felix (16 goals), K. Coman (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Felix (12 assists), K. Coman (10 assists), Angelo (6 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC won 7 times, Al-Nassr won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Al-Qadisiyah FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-5-2 / Al-Nassr 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al-Qadisiyah FC wins 7, draws 0, Al-Nassr wins 5
Stats
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 10
8 Offsides 7
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 6
11 Shots insidebox 7
1 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
390 Total passes 362
329 Passes accurate 296
2.54 expected_goals 0.58
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Al-Qadisiyah FC
Formation
Al-Nassr
K. Casteels
K. Casteels
M. Abu Al Shamat
M. Abu Al Shamat
J. Thakri
J. Thakri
N. Fernandez
N. Fernandez
G. Alvarez
G. Alvarez
N. Nandez
N. Nandez
Otavio
Otavio
M. Al Juwayr
M. Al Juwayr
C. Bonsu Baah
🎯
C. Bonsu Baah
J. Quinones
🎯
J. Quinones
A. Al Salem
A. Al Salem
Bento
Bento
N. Boushal
N. Boushal
M. Simakan
M. Simakan
A. Al Amri
A. Al Amri
I. Martinez
I. Martinez
A. Al Khaibari
A. Al Khaibari
M. Brozovic
🎯
M. Brozovic
K. Coman
K. Coman
Joao Felix
Joao Felix
Angelo
Angelo
C. Ronaldo
C. Ronaldo
Al-Qadisiyah FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
K. Casteels
G
2
M. Abu Al Shamat
⚽ 24'
D
4
J. Thakri
6
N. Fernandez
D
17
G. Alvarez
D
8
N. Nandez
M
25
Otavio
🟨 46'
M
10
M. Al Juwayr
⚽ 55' ↓ 73'
M
22
C. Bonsu Baah
🎯 24'
M
33
J. Quinones
⚽ 78' 🎯 55'
F
9
A. Al Salem
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
28
A. Al Kassar
G
90
A. Al Yuhaybi
M
12
Y. Al Shahrani
D
24
M. Qasem
D
11
A. A. Hazazi
↑ 73'
M
40
I. Mahnashi
M
19
H. Asiri
F
20
Gabriel Carvalho
↑ 70'
F
27
E. Houssa
M
Al-Nassr 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
Bento
G
12
N. Boushal
↓ 85'
D
3
M. Simakan
D
5
A. Al Amri
D
26
I. Martinez
↓ 86' 🟨 41'
D
17
A. Al Khaibari
↓ 67'
M
11
M. Brozovic
🎯 39'
M
21
K. Coman
↓ 85'
M
79
Joao Felix
⚽ 39' 🟨 49'
M
20
Angelo
↓ 76'
M
7
C. Ronaldo
F
Substitutes
53
A. Al Otaibi
G
2
S. Al Ghannam
↑ 85'
D
9
A. Al Hamdan
↑ 85'
F
16
M. Maran
F
4
N. Al Sharari
D
96
S. Al Nasser
↑ 76'
D
29
A. Ghareeb
↑ 86'
F
19
A. Al Hassan
M
23
A. Yahya
↑ 67' 🟨 89'
M
Last matches: Al-Qadisiyah FC
21.05.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ittihad FC
5
1
W
14.05.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hazm
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fayha
2
1
W
29.04.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Riyadh
4
0
W
14.04.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Shabab
2
2
D
09.04.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Damac
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ettifaq
2
3
L
13.03.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
2
W
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Kholood
4
1
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Taawon
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ettifaq
4
0
W
20.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Okhdood
4
2
W
12.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
NEOM
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
03.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
0
W
29.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2
2
D
25.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Najma
3
1
W
22.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ittihad FC
2
1
W
18.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hazm
5
1
W
14.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fayha
5
0
W
Last matches: Al-Nassr
21.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Damac
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
1
D
07.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
4
2
W
29.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
2
W
14.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
NEOM
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
3
1
W
25.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
0
W
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
2
0
W
06.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
2
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
3
0
W
26.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
1
0
W
21.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
1
W
17.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
3
2
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
3
L
H2H: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Nassr
03.05.26
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
1
W
08.01.26
H2H
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
2
W
18.04.25
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
2
1
W
22.11.24
H2H
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
2
W
18.02.21
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
1
0
W
07.11.20
H2H
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2
0
L
06.02.19
H2H
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3
1
L
19.09.18
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
0
3
L
12.04.18
H2H
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2
1
L
09.12.17
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
2
W
26.01.17
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
2
W
17.09.16
H2H
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
0
L
Last matches: Al-Qadisiyah FC
14.05.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hazm
2
0
W
14.04.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Shabab
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
2
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Taawon
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ettifaq
4
0
W
12.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
NEOM
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2
2
D
22.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ittihad FC
2
1
W
14.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fayha
5
0
W
04.01.26
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Riyadh
4
0
W
27.12.25
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Damac
1
1
D
06.11.25
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Kholood
4
0
W
25.10.25
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Okhdood
0
0
D
19.09.25
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Khaleej Saihat
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pro
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Najma
3
1
W
H2H at home: Al-Qadisiyah FC
03.05.26
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
2
1
W
18.02.21
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
1
0
W
19.09.18
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
0
3
L
09.12.17
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
2
W
26.01.17
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
2
W
Last matches: Al-Nassr
07.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
4
2
W
11.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
3
1
W
25.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
0
W
14.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
2
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
3
0
W
21.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
1
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
3
L
02.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
3
L
30.12.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
2
2
D
08.11.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
NEOM
3
1
W
25.10.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
2
0
W
26.09.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
2
0
W
29.08.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
5
0
W
H2H away: Al-Nassr
03.05.26
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
2
1
L
18.02.21
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
1
0
L
19.09.18
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
0
3
W
09.12.17
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
2
L
26.01.17
H2H
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
3
2
L

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation