SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
King Saud University Stadium
Referee: K. Al Turais
Al-Nassr
Match Timeline
Damac
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Alhwsawi Sanousi Mohammed
Damac
🟨
26'
Dhari Al-Enezi
Damac
34'
S. Mane · Assist: Joao Felix
Al-Nassr
52'
K. Coman · Assist: A. Al Khaibari
Al-Nassr
🟨
54'
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
VAR
56'
Abdelkader Bedrane
Damac
58'
M. Sylla
Damac
🟨
60'
Sadio Mané
Al-Nassr
🔄
61'
Arielson ↔ Y. Meite
Damac
🔄
61'
D. Al Anazi ↔ David Kaiki
Damac
🔄
61'
H. Rabea ↔ Y. Naji
Damac
🟨
62'
Jamal Harkass
Damac
63'
C. Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
🟨
71'
Tariq Mohammed
Damac
🔄
81'
S. Al Hawsawi ↔ A. R. Al Khaibre
Damac
81'
C. Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
🔄
85'
J. Okita ↔ K. Al Samiri
Damac
🔄
85'
A. Yahya ↔ Angelo
Al-Nassr
🔄
87'
S. Mane ↔ A. Ghareeb
Al-Nassr
🔄
87'
C. Ronaldo ↔ A. Al Hamdan
Al-Nassr
🔄
90+2'
N. Boushal ↔ N. Al Sharari
Al-Nassr

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al-Nassr Win 88%
Draw 0%
Damac Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Nassr2.2
Damac0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
WWDLW
87 GF / 27 GA
Damac Damac
WLDWL
31 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
2.64
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
16
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
15
6.94
Shots on Goal
3.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 matches
Damac Damac 33 matches
Al-Nassr Statistic Damac
27 Wins 6
2 Draws 11
4 Losses 16
87 Goals For 31
27 Goals Against 51
2.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
16 BTTS Yes 19
29 Over 1.5 28
21 Over 2.5 15
16 Over 3.5 5
17 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 10
6.94 Shots On Goal 3.15
18.03 Total Shots 10.73
7 Corners 4.15
58.2% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Al-Nassr's more proactive style and Damac's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Al-Nassr arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 83 points compared to Damac in 15 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Damac arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Nassr expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Damac in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Damac having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Damac.

Al-Nassr Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 83 points from 33 games, Al-Nassr bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 27 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 87:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Ronaldo (26 goals), Joao Felix (20 goals), K. Coman (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Felix (12 assists), K. Coman (11 assists), S. Mane (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Damac Analysis

With 29 points from 33 games and a place of 15, Damac still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 31:51, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through V. Vada (11 goals), Yakou Méïté (5 goals), Abdelkader Bedrane (3 goals), with creative support from V. Vada (6 assists), Abdulrahman Al-Obaid (6 assists), D. Al Anazi (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nassr won 12 times, Damac won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:15 from Al-Nassr's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al-Nassr 4-4-2 / Damac 4-3-3
H2H summary: Al-Nassr wins 12, draws 2, Damac wins 1
Stats
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
Damac Damac
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 9
6 Offsides 5
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
378 Total passes 240
329 Passes accurate 168
1.27 expected_goals 0.87
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Al-Nassr
Formation
Damac
Bento
Bento
N. Boushal
N. Boushal
M. Simakan
M. Simakan
A. Al Amri
A. Al Amri
I. Martinez
I. Martinez
K. Coman
K. Coman
A. Al Khaibari
🎯
A. Al Khaibari
A. Yahya
A. Yahya
S. Mane
S. Mane
Joao Felix
🎯
Joao Felix
C. Ronaldo
⚽ 2
C. Ronaldo
Kewin
Kewin
S. Al Hawsawi
S. Al Hawsawi
J. Harkass
J. Harkass
A. Bedrane
A. Bedrane
H. Rabea
H. Rabea
A. Al Obaid
A. Al Obaid
J. Okita
J. Okita
M. Sylla
M. Sylla
T. Abdullah
T. Abdullah
D. Al Anazi
D. Al Anazi
Arielson
Arielson
Al-Nassr 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
24
Bento
G
12
N. Boushal
↓ 90+2'
D
3
M. Simakan
D
5
A. Al Amri
D
26
I. Martinez
D
21
K. Coman
⚽ 52'
M
17
A. Al Khaibari
🎯 52'
M
23
A. Yahya
↓ 85'
M
10
S. Mane
⚽ 34' ↓ 87' 🟨 60'
M
79
Joao Felix
🎯 34'
F
7
C. Ronaldo
⚽ 63' ⚽ 81' ↓ 87' 🟨 54'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Al Aqidi
G
9
A. Al Hamdan
↑ 87'
F
16
M. Maran
F
4
N. Al Sharari
↑ 90+2'
D
20
Angelo
↑ 85'
F
96
S. Al Nasser
D
83
S. Al Najdi
D
70
A. Aman
D
29
A. Ghareeb
↑ 87'
F
Damac 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Kewin
G
12
S. Al Hawsawi
↓ 81' 🟨 25'
D
15
J. Harkass
🟨 62'
D
3
A. Bedrane
D
5
H. Rabea
↓ 61'
D
13
A. Al Obaid
D
14
J. Okita
↓ 85'
M
2
M. Sylla
⚽ 58'
M
6
T. Abdullah
🟨 71'
M
20
D. Al Anazi
↓ 61' 🟨 26'
M
99
Arielson
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
30
N. Al Ghamdi
G
72
M. Al Shahrani
G
11
Y. Meite
↑ 61'
F
4
N. Al Rashidi
D
77
David Kaiki
↑ 61'
F
88
K. Al Samiri
↑ 85'
80
Y. Naji
↑ 61'
F
18
N. Al Saadi
M
22
A. R. Al Khaibre
↑ 81'
Last matches: Al-Nassr
12.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
1
D
07.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
4
2
W
03.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
29.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
2
W
14.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
NEOM
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
3
1
W
25.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
0
W
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
2
0
W
06.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
2
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
3
0
W
26.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
1
0
W
21.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
1
W
17.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
3
2
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
3
L
Last matches: Damac
15.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fayha
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ittihad FC
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al Khaleej Saihat
0
2
L
28.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
09.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
12.03.26
Pro
Damac
Al Najma
3
1
W
05.03.26
Pro
Damac
Al Riyadh
3
0
W
26.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Shabab
1
3
L
12.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Taawon
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ettifaq
0
2
L
03.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al Kholood
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pro
Damac
NEOM
0
3
L
26.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Hazm
1
2
L
21.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Nassr
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
13.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ittihad FC
1
1
D
H2H: Al-Nassr vs Damac
21.05.26
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
4
1
W
21.01.26
H2H
Damac
Al-Nassr
1
2
W
22.04.25
H2H
Damac
Al-Nassr
2
3
W
29.11.24
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
0
W
05.04.24
H2H
Damac
Al-Nassr
0
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
1
W
25.02.23
H2H
Dhamk
Al-Nassr
0
3
W
10.09.22
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
2
1
W
08.01.22
H2H
Dhamk
Al-Nassr
0
2
W
13.08.21
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
4
1
W
09.04.21
H2H
Dhamk
Al-Nassr
3
2
L
26.12.20
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
2
2
D
30.01.20
H2H
Dhamk
Al-Nassr
1
1
D
24.12.19
H2H
Dhamk
Al-Nassr
2
4
W
22.08.19
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
2
0
W
Last matches: Al-Nassr
12.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
1
D
29.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
2
W
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
NEOM
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
4
0
W
06.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
2
0
W
26.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
3
2
W
08.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
2
L
27.12.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
3
0
W
23.11.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
4
1
W
01.11.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
2
1
W
18.10.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
5
1
W
20.09.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
5
1
W
14.09.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
2
0
W
H2H at home: Al-Nassr
21.05.26
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
4
1
W
29.11.24
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
1
W
10.09.22
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
2
1
W
13.08.21
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
4
1
W
26.12.20
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
2
2
D
22.08.19
H2H
Al-Nassr
Dhamk
2
0
W
Last matches: Damac
10.05.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ittihad FC
1
2
L
28.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
12.03.26
Pro
Damac
Al Najma
3
1
W
26.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Ettifaq
0
2
L
30.01.26
Pro
Damac
NEOM
0
3
L
26.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Hazm
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
09.01.26
Pro
Damac
Al Khaleej Saihat
0
4
L
30.12.25
Pro
Damac
Al Okhdood
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pro
Damac
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
1
D
06.11.25
Pro
Damac
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pro
Damac
Al Shabab
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pro
Damac
Al Taawon
1
6
L
18.09.25
Pro
Damac
Al Kholood
1
2
L
H2H away: Damac
21.05.26
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
4
1
L
29.11.24
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
1
L

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16
Damac Away
34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation