Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al-Nassr
32 matches
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
31 matches
| Al-Nassr | Statistic | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wins | 23 |
| 1 | Draws | 8 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 86 | Goals For | 81 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.61 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 7.03 | Shots On Goal | 7.06 |
| 18.31 | Total Shots | 16.65 |
| 7.06 | Corners | 6.65 |
| 58.9% | Ball Possession | 59.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Hilal Saudi FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Nassr expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Hilal Saudi FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Hilal Saudi FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Al-Nassr approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 82 points after 32 outings. They have recorded 27 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 86:26 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on C. Ronaldo (26 goals), Joao Felix (20 goals), K. Coman (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Felix (12 assists), K. Coman (10 assists), S. Mane (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 77 points after 31 matches. The return of 23 wins, 8 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 81:26, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Marcos Leonardo (13 goals), R. Neves (11 goals), S. Al Dawsari (8 goals), with creative support from Malcom (9 assists), S. Al Dawsari (8 assists), R. Neves (7 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nassr won 2 times, Al-Hilal Saudi FC won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from Al-Nassr's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Al-Nassr
4
4
2
1
3
2
Lineups
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Sturm Graz II
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fayha
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Damac
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Kholood
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Taawon
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Taawon
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Okhdood
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fayha
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Damac
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
NEOM
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Sturm Graz II
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fayha
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Taawon
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Okhdood
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Damac
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Kholood
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr
Home
|
34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Away
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|