UNITED-ARAB-EMIRATES PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Al Maktoum Stadium
Referee: M. Rashid
Al Nasr
Match Timeline
Al-Ittihad Kalba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
A. Toure · Assist: K. Agudelo
Al Nasr
🟨
40'
L. Milivojevic
Al Nasr
VAR
45+1'
S. Gassama
Al-Ittihad Kalba
🔄
46'
K. Agudelo ↔ I. Faiz
Al Nasr
🔄
59'
R. Mierez ↔ C. Doumbia
Al Nasr
🔄
61'
S. Gassama ↔ Leandro Spadacio
Al-Ittihad Kalba
🔄
61'
N. Jovic ↔ Carlos Alberto
Al-Ittihad Kalba
64'
A. Maxso · Assist: Leandro Spadacio
Al-Ittihad Kalba
🔄
67'
S. Saatci ↔ S. Sultan
Al Nasr
🔄
67'
M. Ghaedi ↔ M. Azarkan
Al Nasr
🟨
72'
S. Rashid
Al-Ittihad Kalba
72'
L. Milivojevic
Al Nasr
🔄
77'
H. Mahdi ↔ M. Abdulbasit
Al Nasr
🔄
77'
S. Rashid ↔ K. Al Darmaki
Al-Ittihad Kalba
🟥
86'
K. Al Darmaki
Al-Ittihad Kalba
🟨
90+8'
C. Doumbia
Al Nasr

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Nasr Win 90.2%
Draw 0%
Al-Ittihad Kalba Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Nasr1.48
Al-Ittihad Kalba1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Nasr Al Nasr
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Al-Ittihad Kalba Al-Ittihad Kalba
WLDWL
27 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
16
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
15
3.32
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Nasr Al Nasr 24 matches
Al-Ittihad Kalba Al-Ittihad Kalba 24 matches
Al Nasr Statistic Al-Ittihad Kalba
8 Wins 5
10 Draws 9
6 Losses 10
32 Goals For 27
31 Goals Against 41
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
16 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 6
3.32 Shots On Goal 2.17
8.68 Total Shots 8.22
3.47 Corners 2.94
42.2% Ball Possession 32.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Al Nasr's more proactive style and Al-Ittihad Kalba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al-Ittihad Kalba. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Al Nasr Analysis

So far, Al Nasr have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 34 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 32:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Toure (5 goals), Cheickna Doumbia (5 goals), L. Milivojevic (4 goals), with creative support from M. Ghaedi (4 assists), L. Milivojevic (3 assists), Ramón Miérez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Al-Ittihad Kalba Analysis

Al-Ittihad Kalba sit 11 with 24 points after 24 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 27:41 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Moghanlou (8 goals), R. Rivas (5 goals), S. Ghoddos (5 goals), with creative support from S. Ghoddos (4 assists), S. Moghanlou (2 assists), A. Nourollahi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al Nasr won 7 times, Al-Ittihad Kalba won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:25 from Al Nasr's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al Nasr 4-2-3-1 / Al-Ittihad Kalba 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al Nasr wins 7, draws 5, Al-Ittihad Kalba wins 3

Lineups

Al Nasr
Formation
Al-Ittihad Kalba
A. Shambih
A. Shambih
Z. Al Zaabi
Z. Al Zaabi
S. Saatci
S. Saatci
M. Hoibraaten
M. Hoibraaten
D. Petrovic
D. Petrovic
L. Milivojevic
L. Milivojevic
K. Agudelo
🎯
K. Agudelo
M. Ghaedi
M. Ghaedi
H. Mahdi
H. Mahdi
A. Toure
A. Toure
R. Mierez
R. Mierez
S. Al Mantheri
S. Al Mantheri
S. Rashid
S. Rashid
A. Mohammed
A. Mohammed
A. Maxso
A. Maxso
R. Rivas
R. Rivas
R. Alivoda
R. Alivoda
S. Gassama
S. Gassama
S. Ghoddos
S. Ghoddos
A. Nourollahi
A. Nourollahi
N. Jovic
N. Jovic
S. Moghanlou
S. Moghanlou
Al Nasr 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Shambih
24
Z. Al Zaabi
15
S. Saatci
↓ 67'
22
M. Hoibraaten
55
D. Petrovic
19
L. Milivojevic
⚽ 72' 🟨 40'
20
K. Agudelo
🎯 14' ↓ 46'
10
M. Ghaedi
↓ 67'
6
H. Mahdi
↓ 77'
28
A. Toure
⚽ 14'
13
R. Mierez
↓ 59'
Substitutes
40
A. Al Tamimi
37
S. Salem
2
S. Sultan
↑ 67'
57
I. Faiz
↑ 46'
80
S. Al Somhi
8
M. Abdulbasit
↑ 77'
17
M. Azarkan
↑ 67'
4
Glauber
23
C. Doumbia
↑ 59' 🟨 90+8'
52
Felipe Motta
35
J. Al-Saadi
51
M. Kassem
Al-Ittihad Kalba 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
S. Al Mantheri
12
S. Rashid
↓ 77' 🟨 72'
25
A. Mohammed
94
A. Maxso
⚽ 64'
18
R. Rivas
6
R. Alivoda
14
S. Gassama
↓ 61'
7
S. Ghoddos
10
A. Nourollahi
80
N. Jovic
↓ 61'
70
S. Moghanlou
Substitutes
55
H. Al Mansoori
17
S. Yousif
19
A. Al Naqbi
77
Leandro Spadacio
🎯 64' ↑ 61'
42
A. Abunamous
90
E. Khalfan
16
M. Blazic
24
K. Al Darmaki
↑ 77' 🟥 86'
27
Y. Al Blooshi
99
Carlos Alberto
↑ 61'
37
K. Koffi
31
O. Al Hamaidah
Last matches: Al Nasr
15.05.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Ajman
2
2
D
06.05.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Dhafra
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FC
2
2
D
18.03.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Bataeh
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Sharjah FC
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Khorfakkan
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Ain
1
1
D
05.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Wasl FC
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Baniyas SC
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Khorfakkan
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Sharjah FC
2
4
L
02.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Baniyas SC
2
1
W
28.12.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Ain
2
2
D
21.12.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Bataeh
3
2
W
21.11.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Dhafra
2
0
W
30.10.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FC
2
3
L
18.10.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Wasl FC
1
2
L
Last matches: Al-Ittihad Kalba
15.05.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Wasl FC
1
2
L
05.05.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Khorfakkan
0
0
D
23.04.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Baniyas SC
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Wahda FC
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Bataeh
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Sharjah FC
2
2
D
11.03.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
5
L
26.02.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Dhafra
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Jazira
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Ajman
1
3
L
27.01.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Ain
1
3
L
18.01.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Sharjah FC
1
3
L
07.01.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Wasl FC
2
2
D
03.01.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Ajman
1
0
W
29.12.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Jazira
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Ain
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Bataeh
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Dhafra
0
3
L
17.10.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0
0
D
H2H: Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
11.05.26
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
1
W
16.08.25
H2H
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr
0
1
W
19.05.25
H2H
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr
2
3
W
10.01.25
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3
2
W
26.04.24
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
2
D
26.11.23
H2H
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr
0
0
D
02.04.23
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3
0
W
29.10.22
H2H
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr
5
3
L
22.04.22
H2H
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr
2
2
D
29.01.22
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1
1
D
28.10.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0
3
L
16.03.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
1
W
02.03.21
H2H
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr
1
2
W
09.02.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1
2
L
01.12.20
H2H
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr
3
3
D
Last matches: Al Nasr
24.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
3
2
W
04.04.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FC
2
2
D
18.03.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Bataeh
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Khorfakkan
2
2
D
05.02.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Wasl FC
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Baniyas SC
0
2
L
06.01.26
Pro
Al Nasr
Sharjah FC
2
4
L
28.12.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al Ain
2
2
D
21.11.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Al-Dhafra
2
0
W
26.09.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pro
Al Nasr
Ajman
1
0
W
H2H at home: Al Nasr
11.05.26
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
1
W
10.01.25
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3
2
W
26.04.24
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
2
D
02.04.23
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3
0
W
29.01.22
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1
1
D
28.10.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0
3
L
16.03.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
1
W
09.02.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1
2
L
Last matches: Al-Ittihad Kalba
15.05.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Wasl FC
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Wahda FC
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Bataeh
2
2
D
11.03.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
5
L
13.02.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Jazira
1
2
L
18.01.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Sharjah FC
1
3
L
03.01.26
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Ajman
1
0
W
20.12.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al Ain
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Al-Dhafra
0
3
L
24.09.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Khorfakkan
4
2
W
20.09.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2
1
W
22.08.25
Pro
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Baniyas SC
1
0
W
H2H away: Al-Ittihad Kalba
11.05.26
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
1
L
10.01.25
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3
2
L
26.04.24
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
2
D
02.04.23
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3
0
L
29.01.22
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1
1
D
28.10.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0
3
W
16.03.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2
1
L
09.02.21
H2H
Al Nasr
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1
2
W

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 21 5 0 62:18 44 68
W W W W W
2 26 17 7 2 60:18 42 58
D D W D L
3 26 14 6 6 39:29 10 48
W W W W W
4 26 13 5 8 46:30 16 44
W L D L W
5 26 10 10 6 38:26 12 40
L D L W D
6 26 9 11 6 36:34 2 38
D W L W W
7 26 9 5 12 27:34 -7 32
D W D W L
8 26 8 5 13 35:47 -12 29
W D L L D
9 26 6 9 11 35:45 -10 27
L D D D D
10 26 7 6 13 29:43 -14 27
L D D W D
11 26 5 9 12 29:45 -16 24
L L D L D
12 26 6 4 16 28:52 -24 22
W L D L L
13 26 4 9 13 24:37 -13 21
D D L L D
14 26 5 5 16 25:55 -30 20
L L W L L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation