Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al Najma
33 matches
Al Shabab
33 matches
| Al Najma | Statistic | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 24 | Losses | 14 |
| 31 | Goals For | 44 |
| 76 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.03 | Shots On Goal | 4.82 |
| 9.12 | Total Shots | 12.97 |
| 3.58 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Najma expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Al Shabab in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Shabab having the stronger overall control. Al Shabab carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 35 points while Al Najma sit 18 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Al Shabab.
Al Najma approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 13 points from 33 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 31:76, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Lazaro (6 goals), Felippe Cardoso (4 goals), R. Al Tulayhi (4 goals), with creative support from Felippe Cardoso (4 assists), R. Al Tulayhi (4 assists), D. Tijanic (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Al Shabab approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 35 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats with a 44:56 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Y. Carrasco (18 goals), A. Hamdallah (6 goals), J. Brownhill (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Carrasco (7 assists), Yacine Adli (3 assists), A. Hamdallah (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al Najma won 1 times, Al Shabab won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Al Najma's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
Al Najma
4
3
4
3
4
2
Lineups
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Najma
Al Taawon
Al Najma
NEOM
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Damac
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al Kholood
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al Okhdood
Al Shabab
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Damac
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Shabab
Al Kholood
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
Al Taawon
Al Najma
NEOM
Al Najma
Damac
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al Kholood
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Shabab
NEOM
Al Shabab
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
Damac
Al Shabab
Al Kholood
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Shabab
Al Okhdood
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Al Shabab
Away
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Al Najma
Home
|
34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|