SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Referee: K. Al Ahmari
Al Najma
Match Timeline
Al-Hazm
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Felippe Cardoso · Assist: A. Jasim
Al Najma
🟨
7'
Sultan Tanker
Al-Hazm
8'
O. Al Somah · Assist: S. Al Rashid
Al-Hazm
42'
A. Al Dhuwayhi · Assist: S. Al Rashid
Al-Hazm
45'
N. Al Haleel · Assist: R. Al Tulayhi
Al Najma
🔄
46'
N. Dunga ↔ Guga
Al Najma
🟨
58'
Rakan Al-Tulayhi
Al Najma
🔄
63'
A. Jasim ↔ Lazaro
Al Najma
🔄
64'
A. Al Shamrani ↔ Y. Al Shammari
Al-Hazm
🔄
64'
A. Al Dhuwayhi ↔ E. Mokwana
Al-Hazm
🔄
75'
L. Rosier ↔ M. Carvalho
Al-Hazm
🔄
75'
O. Al Somah ↔ A. Bamba Dieng
Al-Hazm
🔄
79'
N. Al Haleel ↔ D. Tijanic
Al Najma
🔄
80'
R. Al Tulayhi ↔ A. Al Hawsawi
Al Najma
🟨
82'
Lázaro
Al Najma
🟨
82'
Saud Al Rashed
Al-Hazm
🔄
87'
F. Martins ↔ A. Al Harajin
Al-Hazm
🟨
88'
Elias Mokwana
Al-Hazm

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Najma Win 19%
Draw 25.9%
Al-Hazm Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Najma1.25
Al-Hazm1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Najma Al Najma
WWDLW
29 GF / 72 GA
Al-Hazm Al-Hazm
WLDWL
34 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.1
2.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
21
BTTS Yes
19
22
Over 2.5
19
3.03
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Najma Al Najma 31 matches
Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 31 matches
Al Najma Statistic Al-Hazm
2 Wins 10
6 Draws 8
23 Losses 13
29 Goals For 34
72 Goals Against 53
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
2.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
21 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
10 Failed To Score 11
3.03 Shots On Goal 4.13
9.1 Total Shots 11.61
3.61 Corners 4.13
45.4% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Hazm. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Al-Hazm carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 38 points while Al Najma sit 18 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Najma expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Al-Hazm in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Hazm having the stronger overall control. Al Najma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Al Najma Analysis

Al Najma sit 18 with 12 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 29:72 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lazaro (6 goals), R. Al Tulayhi (4 goals), A. Jasim (3 goals), with creative support from Felippe Cardoso (4 assists), R. Al Tulayhi (3 assists), D. Tijanic (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Hazm Analysis

Al-Hazm sit 10 with 38 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 34:53 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Omar Al-Somah (6 goals), F. Martins (5 goals), Yousef Al-Shammari (5 goals), with creative support from F. Martins (4 assists), A. Sayoud (3 assists), N. Al Habashi (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81%)
Predicted formations: Al Najma 5-4-1 / Al-Hazm 4-3-3

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
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