Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al Najma
31 matches
Al-Hazm
31 matches
| Al Najma | Statistic | Al-Hazm |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 23 | Losses | 13 |
| 29 | Goals For | 34 |
| 72 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 2.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.03 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 9.1 | Total Shots | 11.61 |
| 3.61 | Corners | 4.13 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Hazm. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Al-Hazm carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 38 points while Al Najma sit 18 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Najma expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Al-Hazm in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Hazm having the stronger overall control. Al Najma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Al Najma sit 18 with 12 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 29:72 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lazaro (6 goals), R. Al Tulayhi (4 goals), A. Jasim (3 goals), with creative support from Felippe Cardoso (4 assists), R. Al Tulayhi (3 assists), D. Tijanic (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Al-Hazm sit 10 with 38 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 34:53 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Omar Al-Somah (6 goals), F. Martins (5 goals), Yousef Al-Shammari (5 goals), with creative support from F. Martins (4 assists), A. Sayoud (3 assists), N. Al Habashi (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Al Najma won 2 times, Al-Hazm won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Al Najma's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Al Najma
2
6
3
7
1
4
Lineups
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Najma
Al Taawon
Al Najma
NEOM
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Damac
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al Kholood
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm
Al Taawon
Al-Hazm
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hazm
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
NEOM
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fayha
Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hazm
Al Kholood
Al-Hazm
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Hazm
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al Okhdood
Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
Damac
Al-Hazm
Al Taawon
Al-Hazm
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al Taawon
Al Najma
NEOM
Al Najma
Damac
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al Kholood
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hazm
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hazm
NEOM
Al-Hazm
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hazm
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al Taawon
Al-Hazm
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fayha
Al-Hazm
Al Kholood
Al-Hazm
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hazm
Al Okhdood
Al-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
Damac
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Al-Hazm
Away
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Al Najma
Home
|
34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|