EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Borg El Arab Stadium
Referee: A. M. Omar
AL Masry
Match Timeline
Al Ahly
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Trezeguet
Al Ahly
🟥
38'
Yassin Marei
Al Ahly
🔄
41'
H. El Shahat ↔ H. Reyad
Al Ahly
🔄
46'
O. Zemraoui ↔ K. Bambo
AL Masry
🔄
62'
M. El Aash ↔ A. El Saadawy
AL Masry
🔄
62'
A. Mahmoud ↔ O. El Saaiy
AL Masry
🔄
62'
A. Bencharki ↔ A. Dieng
Al Ahly
🟨
72'
Baher El Mohamady
AL Masry
🔄
75'
M. Hamada ↔ M. El Shami
AL Masry
🟨
85'
Mostafa Shobeir
Al Ahly
🔄
85'
M. Temine ↔ K. Eduwo
AL Masry
VAR
87'
Aliou Dieng
Al Ahly
89'
Trezeguet
Al Ahly
🟨
90+1'
Mohamed Makhlouf
AL Masry
🔄
90+2'
T. Mohamed ↔ M. Otaka
Al Ahly
🔄
90+2'
E. Ashour ↔ Zizo
Al Ahly
🔄
90+2'
Y. Belammari ↔ M. Shokry
Al Ahly

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AL Masry Win 31.7%
Draw 18.6%
Al Ahly Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
AL Masry1.22
Al Ahly1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
AL Masry AL Masry
WWDLW
35 GF / 27 GA
Al Ahly Al Ahly
WLDWL
42 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
13
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
3.44
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AL Masry AL Masry 25 matches
Al Ahly Al Ahly 25 matches
AL Masry Statistic Al Ahly
10 Wins 14
10 Draws 8
5 Losses 3
35 Goals For 42
27 Goals Against 24
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
13 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 4
3.44 Shots On Goal 5
9.96 Total Shots 15.76
3.48 Corners 6.76
49.4% Ball Possession 61.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Al Ahly's more proactive style and AL Masry's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Ahly. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AL Masry expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Al Ahly in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Ahly having the stronger overall control. Al Ahly carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 50 points while AL Masry sit 5 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

AL Masry Analysis

Placed 5 with 40 points from 5 outings, AL Masry continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 6:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Mohsen (7 goals), O. El Saaiy (6 goals), M. Temine (5 goals), with creative support from A. Deghmoum (4 assists), S. Mohsen (2 assists), M. Temine (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Ahly Analysis

Al Ahly approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 50 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 9:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Mahmoud Trézéguet (9 goals), A. Bencharki (5 goals), Zizo (5 goals), with creative support from A. Bencharki (7 assists), Zizo (6 assists), M. Hany (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, AL Masry won 1 times, Al Ahly won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:25 from AL Masry's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: AL Masry 4-1-3-2 / Al Ahly 4-4-2
H2H summary: AL Masry wins 1, draws 3, Al Ahly wins 10
Stats
AL Masry AL Masry
Al Ahly Al Ahly
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
8 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 1
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
489 Total passes 286
438 Passes accurate 215
0.31 expected_goals 1.10
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

AL Masry
Formation
Al Ahly
M. Hamdy
M. Hamdy
K. El Eraki
K. El Eraki
B. El Mohamady
B. El Mohamady
K. Sobhi
K. Sobhi
M. El Aash
M. El Aash
M. Makhlouf
M. Makhlouf
M. Hamada
M. Hamada
A. Mahmoud
A. Mahmoud
O. Zemraoui
O. Zemraoui
A. Deghmoum
A. Deghmoum
M. Temine
M. Temine
O. Shobeir
O. Shobeir
M. Hany
M. Hany
Y. Ibrahim
Y. Ibrahim
Y. Marei
Y. Marei
Y. Belammari
Y. Belammari
T. Mohamed
T. Mohamed
M. Attia
M. Attia
E. Ashour
E. Ashour
Trezeguet
⚽ 2
Trezeguet
H. El Shahat
H. El Shahat
A. Bencharki
A. Bencharki
AL Masry 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Hamdy
7
K. El Eraki
D
2
B. El Mohamady
🟨 72'
D
5
K. Sobhi
D
23
M. El Aash
↓ 62'
6
M. Makhlouf
🟨 90+1'
M
14
M. Hamada
↓ 75'
M
15
A. Mahmoud
↓ 62'
27
O. Zemraoui
↓ 46'
M
30
A. Deghmoum
M
25
M. Temine
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
1
E. Tharwat
G
20
K. Eduwo
↑ 85'
F
8
H. Ali
10
K. Bambo
↑ 46'
F
29
M. Hashem
D
11
M. El Shami
↑ 75'
F
13
A. El Saadawy
↑ 62'
D
18
A. Sawafta
33
O. El Saaiy
↑ 62'
M
Al Ahly 4-4-2
Starting XI
31
O. Shobeir
🟨 85'
G
30
M. Hany
D
6
Y. Ibrahim
D
2
Y. Marei
🟥 38'
D
20
Y. Belammari
↓ 90+2'
D
29
T. Mohamed
↓ 90+2'
M
13
M. Attia
M
22
E. Ashour
↓ 90+2'
M
7
Trezeguet
⚽ 2' ⚽ 89'
M
14
H. El Shahat
↓ 41'
F
17
A. Bencharki
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
1
M. El Shenawy
G
10
M. Sherif
F
23
A. Dieng
↑ 62'
M
4
A. Ramadan
D
21
H. Reyad
↑ 41'
27
M. Otaka
↑ 90+2'
F
25
Zizo
↑ 90+2'
M
5
M. Ben Romdhane
M
12
M. Shokry
↑ 90+2'
D
Last matches: AL Masry
01.05.26
Pre
AL Masry
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pre
AL Masry
Smouha SC
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
AL Masry
Enppi
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
AL Masry
Pyramids FC
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
AL Masry
Zamalek SC
1
4
L
10.03.26
Pre
AL Masry
El Gouna FC
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
AL Masry
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
AL Masry
Enppi
2
3
L
25.02.26
Pre
AL Masry
Future FC
1
0
W
19.02.26
Pre
AL Masry
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
AL Masry
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
AL Masry
Masr
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
AL Masry
Ceramica Cleopatra
3
2
W
02.11.25
Pre
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
0
D
22.10.25
Pre
AL Masry
Smouha SC
0
0
D
03.10.25
Pre
AL Masry
National Bank of Egypt
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
AL Masry
Petrojet
2
3
L
22.09.25
Pre
AL Masry
Pharco
0
0
D
17.09.25
Pre
AL Masry
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
AL Masry
Zamalek SC
0
3
L
Last matches: Al Ahly
05.05.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Enppi
3
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Zamalek SC
3
0
W
27.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Pyramids FC
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
1
W
07.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Geish
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Mokawloon
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Masr
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
0
W
19.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Wadi Degla
3
1
W
02.11.25
Pre
Al Ahly
AL Masry
0
0
D
29.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Petrojet
1
1
D
22.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Al Ittihad
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Kahraba Ismailia
4
2
W
29.09.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Zamalek SC
2
1
W
23.09.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Haras El Hodood
3
2
W
19.09.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
0
W
H2H: AL Masry vs Al Ahly
20.05.26
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
L
02.11.25
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
0
0
D
08.05.25
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
4
2
L
26.12.24
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
L
26.07.24
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
1
L
19.09.23
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
4
0
L
03.08.23
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
2
1
L
26.07.23
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
0
D
27.03.23
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
0
0
D
12.01.23
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
0
0
D
10.08.22
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
2
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
1
0
W
20.08.21
H2H
Al Ahly
AL Masry
4
2
L
27.04.21
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
1
2
L
29.08.20
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
L
Last matches: AL Masry
22.04.26
Pre
AL Masry
Enppi
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
AL Masry
Zamalek SC
1
4
L
06.03.26
Pre
AL Masry
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
25.02.26
Pre
AL Masry
Future FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
AL Masry
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
AL Masry
Ceramica Cleopatra
3
2
W
22.10.25
Pre
AL Masry
Smouha SC
0
0
D
27.09.25
Pre
AL Masry
Petrojet
2
3
L
17.09.25
Pre
AL Masry
Ghazl El Mehalla
2
1
W
31.08.25
Pre
AL Masry
Kahraba Ismailia
4
0
W
19.08.25
Pre
AL Masry
Pyramids FC
2
2
D
08.08.25
Pre
AL Masry
Al Ittihad
3
1
W
H2H at home: AL Masry
20.05.26
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
L
26.12.24
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
L
26.07.24
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
1
L
26.07.23
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
0
D
09.04.22
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
1
0
W
27.04.21
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
1
2
L
29.08.20
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
L
Last matches: Al Ahly
01.05.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Zamalek SC
3
0
W
27.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Pyramids FC
0
3
L
07.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Geish
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Mokawloon
3
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
29.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Petrojet
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Kahraba Ismailia
4
2
W
23.09.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Haras El Hodood
3
2
W
14.09.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Enppi
1
1
D
25.08.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Future FC
2
2
D
H2H away: Al Ahly
20.05.26
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
W
26.12.24
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
W
26.07.24
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
1
W
26.07.23
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
0
D
09.04.22
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
1
0
L
27.04.21
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
1
2
W
29.08.20
H2H
AL Masry
Al Ahly
0
2
W

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)