SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Al-Hazem Club Stadium
Referee: A. Al Qahtani
Al Kholood
Match Timeline
Al-Fateh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
64'
A. Al Fawaz ↔ F. Al Abdulwahed
Al-Fateh
🔄
64'
Bin Mahmoud ↔ A. Al Masoud
Al-Fateh
🔄
64'
Wesley Delgado ↔ A. Gabal
Al-Fateh
🔄
67'
I. Kortajarena ↔ A. Berry
Al Kholood
🔄
79'
M. Sawan ↔ H. Bahebri
Al Kholood
🔄
79'
M. Camara ↔ S. Al Shehri
Al Kholood
🟨
85'
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Al-Fateh
🔄
87'
F. Al Zubaidi ↔ M. Bumuaykel
Al-Fateh
🔄
87'
S. Bendebka ↔ A. Al Youssef
Al-Fateh
🔄
88'
J. Buckley ↔ R. Jaman
Al Kholood
🔄
88'
Guga ↔ A. Al Safari
Al Kholood

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 24.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
84.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
24.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
34.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Kholood Win 46.6%
Draw 37.7%
Al-Fateh Win 15.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Kholood1.38
Al-Fateh1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Kholood Al Kholood
WWDLW
39 GF / 61 GA
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
WLDWL
41 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
17
BTTS Yes
21
22
Over 2.5
15
3.33
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Kholood Al Kholood 33 matches
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 matches
Al Kholood Statistic Al-Fateh
9 Wins 9
5 Draws 9
19 Losses 15
39 Goals For 41
61 Goals Against 55
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
17 BTTS Yes 21
26 Over 1.5 25
22 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 6
14 Failed To Score 7
3.33 Shots On Goal 4.82
9.67 Total Shots 12.61
4 Corners 5.12
46.8% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Kholood expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Fateh in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fateh having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Al-Fateh.

Al Kholood Analysis

With 32 points from 33 games and a place of 14, Al Kholood still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 39:61, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ramiro Enrique (15 goals), Hattan Bahebri (5 goals), A. Al Aliwa (4 goals), with creative support from Hattan Bahebri (5 assists), J. Buckley (4 assists), M. Sawan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Fateh Analysis

So far, Al-Fateh have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 36 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, while the 41:55 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Batna (9 goals), S. Bendebka (9 goals), Matías Vargas (8 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (8 assists), Matías Vargas (4 assists), F. Al Zubaidi (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Al Kholood won 2 times, Al-Fateh won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Al Kholood's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Al Kholood 4-4-2 / Al-Fateh 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Al Kholood wins 2, draws 2, Al-Fateh wins 0

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
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Relegation