SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
28.04.2026 18:00
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
Referee: M. Abu Shaqarah
Al Khaleej Saihat
Match Timeline
Al Najma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
J. King · Assist: H. Al Jayzani
Al Khaleej Saihat
VAR
13'
Felippe Cardoso
Al Najma
16'
A. Moris
Al Najma
🔄
46'
H. Al Jayzani ↔ M. Hamzi
Al Khaleej Saihat
52'
J. King · Assist: G. Masouras
Al Khaleej Saihat
🟨
53'
Abdullah Al-Hawsawi
Al Najma
🔄
58'
M. Y. Dawran M. ↔ H. Al Dubais
Al Najma
🔄
58'
Vitao ↔ K. Al Subaie
Al Najma
59'
P. Fernandes · Assist: P. Rebocho
Al Khaleej Saihat
🔄
69'
P. Fernandes ↔ S. Al Amri
Al Khaleej Saihat
🔄
71'
M. Al Fatil ↔ N. Al Haleel
Al Najma
🔄
71'
A. Al Hawsawi ↔ S. Al Essa
Al Najma
🔄
73'
G. Masouras ↔ B. M. Munshi
Al Khaleej Saihat
🔄
86'
J. King ↔ T. Al Khaibri
Al Khaleej Saihat
🔄
87'
K. Fortounis ↔ A. Al Haydar
Al Khaleej Saihat
🟨
90+4'
Arif Al-Haydar
Al Khaleej Saihat
🟨
90'
Felippe Cardoso
Al Najma

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Najma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 24%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78%
-
BTTS BTTS No
24%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
10.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Khaleej Saihat Win 78%
Draw 22%
Al Najma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Khaleej Saihat1.94
Al Najma1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat
WWDLW
46 GF / 47 GA
Al Najma Al Najma
WLDWL
28 GF / 69 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
18
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
21
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 28 matches
Al Najma Al Najma 29 matches
Al Khaleej Saihat Statistic Al Najma
8 Wins 2
7 Draws 5
13 Losses 22
46 Goals For 28
47 Goals Against 69
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38
18 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 23
18 Over 2.5 21
14 Over 3.5 13
3 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 9
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.07
11.89 Total Shots 9
5.04 Corners 3.76
51.5% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Najma. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Khaleej Saihat expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al Najma in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Najma having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Al Khaleej Saihat arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 31 points compared to Al Najma in 18 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Al Khaleej Saihat Analysis

Al Khaleej Saihat approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 31 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats with a 46:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. King (14 goals), Giorgos Masouras (12 goals), K. Fortounis (10 goals), with creative support from K. Fortounis (11 assists), P. Rebocho (5 assists), J. King (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Najma Analysis

Al Najma sit 18 with 11 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 28:69, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Lazaro (6 goals), R. Al Tulayhi (4 goals), A. Jasim (3 goals), with creative support from Felippe Cardoso (4 assists), R. Al Tulayhi (3 assists), D. Tijanic (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al Khaleej Saihat won 1 times, Al Najma won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Al Khaleej Saihat's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Al Khaleej Saihat 4-4-2 / Al Najma 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Al Khaleej Saihat wins 1, draws 1, Al Najma wins 0

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation