SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
10.05.2026 18:00
King Abdullah Sports City
Referee: M. Al-Hanfoosh
Al-Ittihad FC
Match Timeline
Damac
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
H. Aouar · Assist: M. Diaby
Al-Ittihad FC
🔄
60'
Y. Naji ↔ Y. Meite
Damac
🔄
62'
Y. En Nesyri ↔ S. Al Shehri
Al-Ittihad FC
🔄
62'
M. Diaby ↔ A. Al Oboud
Al-Ittihad FC
73'
Y. Meite · Assist: A. Al Obaid
Damac
🔄
74'
A. Al Nashri ↔ A. Al Bishi
Al-Ittihad FC
🔄
74'
A. Al Obaid ↔ D. Al Anazi
Damac
🔄
74'
David Kaiki ↔ N. Al Saadi
Damac
🔄
74'
J. Okita ↔ A. Al Qahtani
Damac
🔄
85'
M. Al Shanqiti ↔ A. Al Ghamdi
Al-Ittihad FC
🔄
87'
↔ H. Al Ghamdi
Damac
🟨
88'
Tariq Mohammed
Damac
🟨
90+6'
Steven Bergwijn
Al-Ittihad FC
90'
A. Al Bishi · Assist: S. Al Shehri
Al-Ittihad FC

Al-Ittihad FC vs Damac Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al-Ittihad FC Win 82.5%
Draw 0%
Damac Win 17.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Ittihad FC1.57
Damac1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
WWDLW
47 GF / 38 GA
Damac Damac
WLDWL
27 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
16
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
13
4.93
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 30 matches
Damac Damac 31 matches
Al-Ittihad FC Statistic Damac
14 Wins 5
7 Draws 11
9 Losses 15
47 Goals For 27
38 Goals Against 49
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
16 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 10
4.93 Shots On Goal 2.94
13.1 Total Shots 10.48
6.5 Corners 4.16
59.2% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Al-Ittihad FC's more proactive style and Damac's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Ittihad FC expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Damac in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Damac having the stronger overall control. Damac arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Damac. Al-Ittihad FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 49 points compared to Damac in 15 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Al-Ittihad FC Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Al-Ittihad FC have collected 49 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 47:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Benzema (17 goals), H. Aouar (5 goals), S. Al Rubaie (5 goals), with creative support from M. Al Shanqiti (6 assists), Moussa Diaby (6 assists), H. Aouar (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Damac Analysis

Damac approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 26 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 27:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on V. Vada (11 goals), Yakou Méïté (4 goals), J. Harkass (3 goals), with creative support from V. Vada (4 assists), Abdulrahman Al-Obaid (4 assists), D. Al Anazi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ittihad FC won 6 times, Damac won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Al-Ittihad FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al-Ittihad FC 3-4-1-2 / Damac 4-3-3
H2H summary: Al-Ittihad FC wins 6, draws 4, Damac wins 4

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16
Damac Away
34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation