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05.09.2026 18:00
King Abdullah Sports City
Referee: Khaled Al Teris, Saudi Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
Match Timeline
Al-Nassr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
G. Ilenikhena
Al-Ittihad FC
⚽
22'
G. Ilenikhena · Assist: H. Aouar
Al-Ittihad FC
⚽
36'
Angelo
Al-Nassr
🔄
46'
M. Ali ↔ R. Rios
Al-Ittihad FC
🟨
53'
Dion Lopy
Al-Ittihad FC
🔄
53'
A. Al Julaydan ↔ M. Al Shanqiti
Al-Ittihad FC
🟨
55'
Samú Costa
Al-Nassr
🔄
60'
S. Al Najdi ↔ S. Al Nasser
Al-Nassr
🔄
60'
K. Coman ↔ A. Yahya
Al-Nassr
🔄
67'
G. Ilenikhena ↔ Y. En Nesyri
Al-Ittihad FC
🔄
67'
A. Al Ghamdi ↔ M. Al Sahafi
Al-Ittihad FC
🟨
69'
João Félix
Al-Nassr
🔄
78'
Samu Costa ↔ A. Al Khaibari
Al-Nassr
🔄
78'
Angelo ↔ A. Al Hamdan
Al-Nassr
🟨
79'
Abdullah Al-Khaibari
Al-Nassr
🔄
82'
S. Bergwijn ↔ R. Kaabi
Al-Ittihad FC
🟨
90+2'
Youssef En-Nesyri
Al-Ittihad FC
🟨
90+1'
Abdulelah Al-Amri
Al-Nassr

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Ittihad FC Win 36.7%
Draw 15.2%
Al-Nassr Win 48.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Ittihad FC1.75
Al-Nassr1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
D W W D W
9 GF / 4 GA
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
W W W W L
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 9 matches
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 8 matches
Al-Ittihad FC Statistic Al-Nassr
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
18 Goals For 17
13 Goals Against 11
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 7
11.8 Total Shots 16.25
4 Corners 7.75
40% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ittihad FC won 8 times, Al-Nassr won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:23 from Al-Ittihad FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Al-Ittihad FC 4-2-3-1 / Al-Nassr 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Al-Ittihad FC wins 8, draws 2, Al-Nassr wins 5

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 10 0 1 32:9 23 30
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 32:12 20 28
W L W W W
3 11 9 1 1 28:11 17 28
W W W W D
4 11 7 3 1 21:11 10 24
D W W L W
5 12 7 1 4 18:10 8 22
W W L L D
6 11 7 0 4 28:19 9 21
L W W W W
7 12 5 4 3 18:17 1 19
D W L W D
8 12 4 3 5 10:13 -3 15
L L W D L
9 12 3 6 3 14:19 -5 15
W L W W D
10 11 3 5 3 20:15 5 14
W W D W D
11 11 3 3 5 17:26 -9 12
L L L L L
12 11 3 3 5 11:25 -14 12
L W L D W
13 12 2 5 5 16:20 -4 11
W D L L D
14 12 2 4 6 14:20 -6 10
L D L L D
15 12 2 4 6 13:24 -11 10
L W L D W
16 12 1 3 8 10:25 -15 6
L L L W L
17 12 0 5 7 6:20 -14 5
D L L D L
18 11 0 3 8 7:19 -12 3
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1