SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Kingdom Arena
Referee: A. Sidiropoulos
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Match Timeline
NEOM
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
R. Neves
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
🟨
27'
Sultan Mandash
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
58'
S. Mandash · Assist: Malcom
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
🔄
63'
M. Al Burayk ↔ I. Hawsawi
NEOM
🔄
63'
F. Abdi ↔ A. Al Oyayari
NEOM
🔄
63'
A. Al Haji ↔ M. Al Saad
NEOM
🔄
65'
S. Mandash ↔ M. Meite
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
🔄
79'
Marcos Leonardo ↔ A. Darisi
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
🔄
79'
L. Rodriguez ↔ Y. Gharwi
NEOM
🟨
86'
Theo Hernández
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
🔄
89'
M. Al Harbi ↔ A. Lajami
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
🔄
89'
Malcom ↔ S. Bouabre
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
🟨
90+1'
Khalifah Al-Dawsari
NEOM

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Win 78.5%
Draw 0%
NEOM Win 21.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Hilal Saudi FC2.1
NEOM1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
WWDLW
82 GF / 27 GA
NEOM NEOM
WLDWL
42 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
2.56
Average Goals Scored
1.31
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
18
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
18
6.97
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 matches
NEOM NEOM 32 matches
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Statistic NEOM
23 Wins 12
9 Draws 8
0 Losses 12
82 Goals For 42
27 Goals Against 45
2.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
18 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 18
15 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 6
6.97 Shots On Goal 4.69
16.34 Total Shots 12.81
6.53 Corners 4.81
59.5% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Al-Hilal Saudi FC's more proactive style and NEOM's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 77 points compared to NEOM in 8 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward NEOM. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and NEOM in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NEOM having the stronger overall control. Al-Hilal Saudi FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC Analysis

Al-Hilal Saudi FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 77 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 23 wins, 8 draws, and 0 losses, with a 81:26 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Marcos Leonardo (13 goals), R. Neves (11 goals), S. Al Dawsari (8 goals), with creative support from Malcom (9 assists), S. Al Dawsari (8 assists), R. Neves (7 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

NEOM Analysis

From their first 32 matches, NEOM have collected 44 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 42:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Lacazette (11 goals), S. Benrahma (10 goals), L. Rodriguez (6 goals), with creative support from S. Benrahma (7 assists), A. Lacazette (4 assists), A. Doucoure (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Hilal Saudi FC won 2 times, NEOM won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Al-Hilal Saudi FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-1-4-2 / NEOM 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins 2, draws 0, NEOM wins 0
Stats
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM NEOM
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 2
19 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
478 Total passes 354
410 Passes accurate 287
2.12 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Formation
NEOM
Bono
Bono
H. Tambakti
H. Tambakti
R. Neves
R. Neves
M. Al Harbi
M. Al Harbi
S. Mandash
S. Mandash
S. Milinkovic-Savic
S. Milinkovic-Savic
N. Al Dawsari
N. Al Dawsari
M. Kanno
M. Kanno
T. Hernandez
T. Hernandez
Malcom
🎯
Malcom
Marcos Leonardo
Marcos Leonardo
M. Bulka
M. Bulka
K. Al Dawsari
K. Al Dawsari
A. Hegazy
A. Hegazy
N. Zeze
N. Zeze
F. Abdi
F. Abdi
M. Al Burayk
M. Al Burayk
A. Al Haji
A. Al Haji
A. Kone
A. Kone
R. Messi
R. Messi
L. Rodriguez
L. Rodriguez
A. Lacazette
A. Lacazette
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-5-2
Starting XI
37
Bono
G
87
H. Tambakti
D
8
R. Neves
⚽ 10'
D
24
M. Al Harbi
↓ 89'
D
23
S. Mandash
⚽ 58' ↓ 65' 🟨 27'
M
22
S. Milinkovic-Savic
M
16
N. Al Dawsari
M
28
M. Kanno
M
19
T. Hernandez
🟨 86'
M
10
Malcom
🎯 58' ↓ 89'
F
9
Marcos Leonardo
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
17
M. Al Rubaie
G
40
A. Abu Rasen
G
78
A. Lajami
↑ 89'
D
75
M. Meite
↑ 65'
F
18
M. Al Hawsawi
M
70
S. Bouabre
↑ 89'
M
14
A. Darisi
↑ 79'
F
NEOM 4-4-2
Starting XI
99
M. Bulka
G
4
K. Al Dawsari
🟨 90+1'
D
26
A. Hegazy
D
44
N. Zeze
D
25
F. Abdi
↓ 63'
D
2
M. Al Burayk
↓ 63'
M
18
A. Al Haji
↓ 63'
72
A. Kone
M
80
R. Messi
M
19
L. Rodriguez
↓ 79'
F
91
A. Lacazette
F
Substitutes
81
L. Maximiano
G
60
A. Al Anzi
F
61
Y. Gharwi
↑ 79'
M
93
A. Al Saluli
D
27
I. Hawsawi
↑ 63'
D
15
A. Al Oyayari
↑ 63'
D
14
M. Al Saad
↑ 63'
F
95
A. Fallatah
M
54
F. Ghafli
M
Last matches: Al-Hilal Saudi FC
21.05.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
1
1
D
05.05.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Khaleej Saihat
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
3
0
W
28.04.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Damac
1
0
W
08.04.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Kholood
6
0
W
04.04.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Taawon
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
4
0
W
27.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
5
3
W
24.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Taawon
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ittihad FC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ettifaq
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Okhdood
6
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
0
D
29.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2
2
D
25.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
22.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fayha
4
1
W
18.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
2
1
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
3
1
W
Last matches: NEOM
21.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
4
3
W
04.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
1
2
L
25.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Damac
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
21.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
0
0
D
18.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
L
14.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
3
L
H2H: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM
16.05.26
H2H
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
2
0
W
18.01.26
H2H
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
W
Last matches: Al-Hilal Saudi FC
28.04.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Damac
1
0
W
08.04.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Kholood
6
0
W
04.04.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Taawon
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
4
0
W
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ittihad FC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ettifaq
2
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
0
D
22.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fayha
4
1
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
3
1
W
08.01.26
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
3
0
W
26.12.25
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Khaleej Saihat
3
2
W
22.11.25
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
2
1
W
31.10.25
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab
1
0
W
25.09.25
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Okhdood
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2
2
D
29.08.25
Pro
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Riyadh
2
0
W
H2H at home: Al-Hilal Saudi FC
16.05.26
H2H
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
2
0
W
Last matches: NEOM
02.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
25.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
1
L
02.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
1
D
21.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
0
0
D
14.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
3
L
04.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hazm
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
1
1
D
30.10.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
3
2
W
27.09.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
3
2
W
14.09.25
Pro
NEOM
Damac
2
1
W
28.08.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
1
L
H2H away: NEOM
16.05.26
H2H
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
NEOM
2
0
L

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8
NEOM Away
34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation