Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al-Fateh
32 matches
Al Najma
32 matches
| Al-Fateh | Statistic | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 2 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 15 | Losses | 23 |
| 39 | Goals For | 31 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 74 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.31 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.78 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.47 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 3.53 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Fateh expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Al Najma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Najma having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Al-Fateh arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 33 points compared to Al Najma in 18 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al Najma.
From their first 32 matches, Al-Fateh have collected 33 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 39:55 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Batna (9 goals), S. Bendebka (9 goals), Matías Vargas (7 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (8 assists), Matías Vargas (4 assists), F. Al Zubaidi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 13 points from 32 games and a place of 18, Al Najma still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 23 defeats with a 31:74 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lazaro (6 goals), Felippe Cardoso (4 goals), R. Al Tulayhi (4 goals), with creative support from Felippe Cardoso (4 assists), R. Al Tulayhi (4 assists), D. Tijanic (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fateh won 1 times, Al Najma won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Al-Fateh's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Al-Fateh
6
4
6
5
5
4
Lineups
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
NEOM
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
Damac
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Fayha
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Najma
Al Taawon
Al Najma
NEOM
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Damac
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al Kholood
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
NEOM
Al-Fateh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
Damac
Al-Fateh
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Fateh
Al Kholood
Al-Fateh
Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fateh
Al-Fayha
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Najma
Al Shabab
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
Al Najma
Al Taawon
Al Najma
NEOM
Al Najma
Damac
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
Al Najma
Al Kholood
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 63 | 86 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 58 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 49 | 77 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 7 | 55 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 13 | 53 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | -4 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 45 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 38 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Al-Fateh
Home
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | -8 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | -13 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | -28 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | -23 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | -43 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Al Najma
Away
|
34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | -44 | 16 |
W
L
D
D
L
|