SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium
Referee: M. Al Huwaish
Al-Ettifaq
Match Timeline
Al Najma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Lázaro
Al Najma
🟨
21'
Nasser Al Haleel
Al Najma
🟨
40'
Nabil Donga
Al Najma
🔄
70'
M. Nkota ↔ M. Ali
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
70'
S. Al Essa ↔ A. Al Hawsawi
Al Najma
🔄
70'
Lazaro ↔ R. Al Tulayhi
Al Najma
🔄
70'
A. Jasim ↔ D. Tijanic
Al Najma
🔄
81'
M. Al Olayan ↔ M. Al Sibyani
Al-Ettifaq
🟨
90+7'
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 91.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 89.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
91.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
89.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al-Ettifaq Win 100%
Draw 0%
Al Najma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Ettifaq1.84
Al Najma1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq
WWDLW
44 GF / 51 GA
Al Najma Al Najma
WLDWL
29 GF / 72 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
17
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
22
4
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 30 matches
Al Najma Al Najma 30 matches
Al-Ettifaq Statistic Al Najma
13 Wins 2
6 Draws 5
11 Losses 23
44 Goals For 29
51 Goals Against 72
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
17 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 9
4 Shots On Goal 3
9.63 Total Shots 8.9
3.83 Corners 3.63
48.9% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Ettifaq expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al Najma in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Najma having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Al-Ettifaq arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 45 points compared to Al Najma in 18 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al Najma.

Al-Ettifaq Analysis

With 45 points from 30 games and a place of 7, Al-Ettifaq still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 44:51 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Wijnaldum (15 goals), K. Al Ghannam (11 goals), M. Dembele (6 goals), with creative support from G. Wijnaldum (6 assists), K. Al Ghannam (5 assists), Álvaro Medrán (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Najma Analysis

Al Najma approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 11 points from 30 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 29:72, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Lazaro (6 goals), R. Al Tulayhi (4 goals), A. Jasim (3 goals), with creative support from Felippe Cardoso (4 assists), R. Al Tulayhi (3 assists), D. Tijanic (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ettifaq won 1 times, Al Najma won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Al-Ettifaq's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al-Ettifaq 4-2-3-1 / Al Najma 3-5-2
H2H summary: Al-Ettifaq wins 1, draws 1, Al Najma wins 0
Stats
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma Al Najma
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 7
9 Blocked Shots 4
15 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
447 Total passes 311
389 Passes accurate 252
2.43 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Al-Ettifaq
Formation
Al Najma
M. Rodak
M. Rodak
M. Al Olayan
M. Al Olayan
A. A. Khateeb
A. A. Khateeb
F. Calvo
F. Calvo
J. Costa
J. Costa
A. Medran
A. Medran
O. Duda
O. Duda
M. Nkota
M. Nkota
G. Wijnaldum
G. Wijnaldum
K. Al Ghannam
K. Al Ghannam
M. Dembele
M. Dembele
Victor Braga
Victor Braga
S. Al Essa
S. Al Essa
N. Al Haleel
N. Al Haleel
M. Al Fatil
M. Al Fatil
Samir Caetano
Samir Caetano
K. Al Subaie
K. Al Subaie
A. Jasim
A. Jasim
A. Al Harabi
A. Al Harabi
N. Dunga
N. Dunga
Lazaro
Lazaro
Felippe Cardoso
Felippe Cardoso
Al-Ettifaq 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Rodak
G
33
M. Al Olayan
↓ 81'
D
70
A. A. Khateeb
D
5
F. Calvo
D
18
J. Costa
D
10
A. Medran
🟨 90+7'
M
11
O. Duda
M
15
M. Nkota
↓ 70'
M
8
G. Wijnaldum
M
17
K. Al Ghannam
M
9
M. Dembele
F
Substitutes
22
Hawswi
7
M. Ali
↑ 70'
M
37
A. Hindi
D
6
F. Al Ghamdi
3
A. Madu
D
87
M. Al Sibyani
↑ 81'
29
Z. Al Ghamdi
24
Jalal Al Salem
F
20
A. Maghfori
F
Al Najma 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Braga
G
66
S. Al Essa
↓ 70'
4
N. Al Haleel
33
M. Al Fatil
D
3
Samir Caetano
D
27
K. Al Subaie
14
A. Jasim
↓ 70'
M
18
A. Al Harabi
M
80
N. Dunga
🟨 40'
M
7
Lazaro
↓ 70' 🟨 12'
M
70
Felippe Cardoso
F
Substitutes
87
W. Al Enezi
G
16
Guga
M
24
A. Al Hawsawi
↑ 70'
23
R. Al Tulayhi
↑ 70'
M
77
H. Al Dubais
F
43
D. Tijanic
↑ 70'
M
6
K. Al Shammari
M
11
M. Y. Dawran M.
M
75
M. Sharrahi
M
Last matches: Al-Ettifaq
21.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
30.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Okhdood
3
1
W
15.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
09.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
2
3
L
05.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3
2
W
13.03.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fayha
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hazm
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
4
L
19.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
4
3
W
13.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Damac
2
0
W
03.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Taawon
1
0
W
28.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
4
L
24.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Kholood
2
1
W
21.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
1
0
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
2
L
Last matches: Al Najma
20.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Shabab
1
0
W
14.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
3
L
23.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Taawon
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
NEOM
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
2
5
L
12.03.26
Pro
Al Najma
Damac
1
3
L
06.03.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
4
L
28.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
1
3
L
25.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
0
5
L
19.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
4
L
14.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Kholood
2
1
W
05.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
0
1
L
28.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
20.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Shabab
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
12.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
2
3
L
H2H: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Najma
04.05.26
H2H
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
0
0
D
08.01.26
H2H
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
3
4
W
Last matches: Al-Ettifaq
14.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
1
3
L
09.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
2
3
L
05.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3
2
W
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
4
3
W
06.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Damac
2
0
W
03.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Taawon
1
0
W
21.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
0
0
D
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
2
2
D
22.11.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fayha
3
2
W
31.10.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hazm
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
5
L
12.09.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
0
D
28.08.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Kholood
2
1
W
H2H at home: Al-Ettifaq
04.05.26
H2H
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
0
0
D
Last matches: Al Najma
14.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0
2
L
28.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
3
L
03.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
2
5
L
06.03.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
4
L
19.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
4
L
05.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
0
1
L
20.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Shabab
0
0
D
12.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
2
3
L
29.12.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al Taawon
0
1
L
25.12.25
Pro
Al Najma
NEOM
1
2
L
22.11.25
Pro
Al Najma
Damac
0
0
D
31.10.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
1
2
L
17.10.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al Kholood
1
5
L
14.09.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
1
2
L
30.08.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
H2H away: Al Najma
04.05.26
H2H
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
0
0
D

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation