EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Ahly Win 78.2%
Draw 4.5%
Smouha SC Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Ahly1.4
Smouha SC0.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Ahly Al Ahly
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Smouha SC Smouha SC
WLDWL
0 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
0
8
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Ahly Al Ahly 3 matches
Smouha SC Smouha SC 2 matches
Al Ahly Statistic Smouha SC
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
6 Goals For 0
4 Goals Against 1
2 Avg Goals Scored 0
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 0
3 Over 1.5 0
2 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
8 Shots On Goal 3
16.5 Total Shots 11.5
5.5 Corners 5.5
61% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al Ahly won 9 times, Smouha SC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:12 from Al Ahly's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Al Ahly 4-4-2 / Smouha SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al Ahly wins 9, draws 3, Smouha SC wins 3
Last matches: Al Ahly
28.08.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Masr
2
0
W
23.08.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Enppi
3
2
W
19.08.26
Fri
Al Ahly
Barcelona
1
2
L
20.05.26
Pre
Al Ahly
AL Masry
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Enppi
3
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Zamalek SC
3
0
W
27.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Pyramids FC
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
1
W
07.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Geish
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Mokawloon
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Masr
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
0
W
19.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Wadi Degla
3
1
W
02.11.25
Pre
Al Ahly
AL Masry
0
0
D
29.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Petrojet
1
1
D
22.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Al Ittihad
2
1
W
Last matches: Smouha SC
26.08.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Asyut Petrol
0
0
D
22.08.26
Pre
Smouha SC
AL Masry
0
1
L
20.05.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Pyramids FC
1
2
L
05.05.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Zamalek SC
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pre
Smouha SC
AL Masry
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
1
2
L
07.04.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Enppi
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Future FC
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Smouha SC
National Bank of Egypt
3
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Al Ittihad
0
1
L
11.02.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Zamalek SC
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Pyramids FC
2
1
W
29.01.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Enppi
2
1
W
21.01.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Pharco
2
0
W
04.11.25
Pre
Smouha SC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pre
Smouha SC
El Gouna FC
0
1
L
22.10.25
Pre
Smouha SC
AL Masry
0
0
D
03.10.25
Pre
Smouha SC
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
H2H: Al Ahly vs Smouha SC
11.04.26
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
1
W
23.02.26
H2H
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
W
07.01.25
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
0
W
08.08.24
H2H
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
W
28.11.23
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
D
17.04.23
H2H
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
2
W
17.01.23
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
3
1
W
25.12.22
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
D
29.06.22
H2H
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
3
2
L
27.01.22
H2H
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
3
0
L
25.11.21
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
1
W
04.07.21
H2H
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
4
W
21.04.21
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
2
L
24.07.20
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
0
W
11.03.20
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Al Ahly
23.08.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Enppi
3
2
W
05.05.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Enppi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Masr
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Al Ahly
Wadi Degla
3
1
W
02.11.25
Pre
Al Ahly
AL Masry
0
0
D
22.10.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Al Ittihad
2
1
W
29.09.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Zamalek SC
2
1
W
19.09.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Pyramids FC
0
2
L
15.08.25
Pre
Al Ahly
Pharco
4
1
W
H2H at home: Al Ahly
11.04.26
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
1
W
07.01.25
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
0
W
28.11.23
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
D
17.01.23
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
3
1
W
25.12.22
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
D
25.11.21
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
1
W
21.04.21
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
2
L
24.07.20
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
0
W
11.03.20
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Smouha SC
22.08.26
Pre
Smouha SC
AL Masry
0
1
L
20.05.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Pyramids FC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Smouha SC
National Bank of Egypt
3
1
W
16.02.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Al Ittihad
0
1
L
11.02.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Zamalek SC
0
1
L
29.01.26
Pre
Smouha SC
Enppi
2
1
W
04.11.25
Pre
Smouha SC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
22.10.25
Pre
Smouha SC
AL Masry
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pre
Smouha SC
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pre
Smouha SC
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
1
L
26.08.25
Pre
Smouha SC
Kahraba Ismailia
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Smouha SC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
H2H away: Smouha SC
11.04.26
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
1
L
07.01.25
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
0
L
28.11.23
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
D
17.01.23
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
3
1
L
25.12.22
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
D
25.11.21
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
1
L
21.04.21
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
2
W
24.07.20
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
0
L
11.03.20
H2H
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 5:0 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 3:0 3 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
W D
7 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
W D
8 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
9 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
L W
11 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
12 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
D D
13 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
16 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
L D
17 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 3:6 -3 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
L L
20 2 0 0 2 0:5 -5 0
L L