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07.11.2026 17:30
Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.68
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.6%
1.74 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.68 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.82 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.01 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Ahli Jeddah Win 78.6%
Draw 13.2%
Al Taawon Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Ahli Jeddah1.8
Al Taawon1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
D L W W W
10 GF / 10 GA
Al Taawon Al Taawon
D L L D L
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
13
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
6
5.6
Shots on Goal
3.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 20 matches
Al Taawon Al Taawon 14 matches
Al-Ahli Jeddah Statistic Al Taawon
9 Wins 1
4 Draws 6
7 Losses 7
39 Goals For 10
34 Goals Against 22
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
13 BTTS Yes 6
18 Over 1.5 9
15 Over 2.5 6
13 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 7
5.6 Shots On Goal 3.08
13.27 Total Shots 12.42
3.47 Corners 5.83
48.9% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Al-Ahli Jeddah's more proactive style and Al Taawon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Ahli Jeddah arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 21 points compared to Al Taawon in 17 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al Taawon. Al-Ahli Jeddah come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Ahli Jeddah expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al Taawon in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Taawon having the stronger overall control.

Al-Ahli Jeddah Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 21 points from 10 games, Al-Ahli Jeddah bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a 27:13 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on I. Toney (13 goals), Trincão (6 goals), A. Bondarenko (3 goals), with creative support from E. Spertsyan (4 assists), Trincão (3 assists), Saad Yaslam (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Al Taawon Analysis

With 4 points from 11 games and a place of 17, Al Taawon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 5:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Hamed Allah (3 goals), Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji (1 goals), N. Bajrami (1 goals), with creative support from M. Petkov (1 assists), Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi (1 assists), Y. El Bahraoui (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 9 times, Al Taawon won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from Al-Ahli Jeddah's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1 / Al Taawon 5-4-1
H2H summary: Al-Ahli Jeddah wins 9, draws 3, Al Taawon wins 3

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 10 0 1 32:9 23 30
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 32:12 20 28
W L W W W
3 11 9 1 1 28:11 17 28
W W W W D
4 11 7 3 1 21:11 10 24
D W W L W
5 12 7 1 4 18:10 8 22
W W L L D
6 11 7 0 4 28:19 9 21
L W W W W
7 12 5 4 3 18:17 1 19
D W L W D
8 12 4 3 5 10:13 -3 15
L L W D L
9 12 3 6 3 14:19 -5 15
W L W W D
10 11 3 5 3 20:15 5 14
W W D W D
11 11 3 3 5 17:26 -9 12
L L L L L
12 11 3 3 5 11:25 -14 12
L W L D W
13 12 2 5 5 16:20 -4 11
W D L L D
14 12 2 4 6 14:20 -6 10
L D L L D
15 12 2 4 6 13:24 -11 10
L W L D W
16 12 1 3 8 10:25 -15 6
L L L W L
17 12 0 5 7 6:20 -14 5
D L L D L
18 11 0 3 8 7:19 -12 3
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1