RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Samara Arena
Referee: P. Shadyhanov
Akron
Match Timeline
FC Rostov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
K. Shchetinin
FC Rostov
39'
M. Mohebi · Assist: K. Shchetinin
FC Rostov
42'
O. Sako
Akron
45'
V. Melekhin
FC Rostov
🔄
46'
A. Dmitriev ↔ K. Maradishvili
Akron
🔄
46'
R. Escoval ↔ Y. Rocha
Akron
🔄
56'
M. Mohebi ↔ E. Golenkov
FC Rostov
🔄
56'
I. Komarov ↔ D. Prokhin
FC Rostov
🔄
57'
I. Djakovac ↔ S. Loncar
Akron
🔄
68'
M. Boldyrev ↔ K. Bistrovic
Akron
🔄
68'
K. Khosonov ↔ K. Arevalo
Akron
🔄
73'
T. Suleymanov ↔ Ronaldo
FC Rostov
🔄
73'
K. Shchetinin ↔ G. Ignatov
FC Rostov
🟨
85'
Aleksey Mironov
FC Rostov
🟨
89'
Ilya Vakhaniya
FC Rostov
🟨
90+4'
Stefan Lončar
Akron
🔄
90+3'
A. Mironov ↔ K. Kuchaev
FC Rostov

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 31.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
31.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akron Win 34%
Draw 5.3%
FC Rostov Win 60.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron1.14
FC Rostov1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akron Akron
WWDLW
33 GF / 46 GA
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
19
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
6
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akron Akron 28 matches
FC Rostov FC Rostov 28 matches
Akron Statistic FC Rostov
6 Wins 7
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
33 Goals For 22
46 Goals Against 30
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
19 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 10
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.54
10.75 Total Shots 11.5
3.75 Corners 4.32
43.2% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Rostov. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Akron Analysis

So far, Akron have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 27 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 33:46 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Dzyuba (8 goals), Benchimol (6 goals), D. Pestryakov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Dzyuba (5 assists), D. Pestryakov (4 assists), Ifet Đakovac (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Bistrovic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

FC Rostov Analysis

From their first 28 matches, FC Rostov have collected 30 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 22:30 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo (6 goals), Timur Suleymanov (4 goals), Aleksey Mironov (2 goals), with creative support from Egor Golenkov (4 assists), M. Mohebi (2 assists), Kirill Shchetinin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Hankic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Akron won 3 times, FC Rostov won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Akron's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Akron 4-3-3 / FC Rostov 4-3-3
Missing players: Akron 1, FC Rostov 1
H2H summary: Akron wins 3, draws 0, FC Rostov wins 2
Stats
Akron Akron
FC Rostov FC Rostov
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 10
398 Total passes 284
279 Passes accurate 172
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Akron
Formation
FC Rostov
V. Gudiev
V. Gudiev
I. Nedelcearu
I. Nedelcearu
R. Escoval
R. Escoval
M. Bokoev
M. Bokoev
D. Pestryakov
D. Pestryakov
K. Khosonov
K. Khosonov
I. Djakovac
I. Djakovac
R. Fernandez
R. Fernandez
A. Dmitriev
A. Dmitriev
Benchimol
Benchimol
M. Boldyrev
M. Boldyrev
R. Yatimov
R. Yatimov
A. Langovich
A. Langovich
V. Melekhin
V. Melekhin
D. Chistyakov
D. Chistyakov
O. Sako
O. Sako
I. Vakhania
I. Vakhania
I. Komarov
I. Komarov
K. Shchetinin
🎯
K. Shchetinin
A. Mironov
A. Mironov
T. Suleymanov
T. Suleymanov
M. Mohebi
M. Mohebi
Akron 3-4-3
Starting XI
88
V. Gudiev
G
24
I. Nedelcearu
D
26
R. Escoval
↓ 46'
D
19
M. Bokoev
D
71
D. Pestryakov
M
80
K. Khosonov
↓ 68'
M
35
I. Djakovac
↓ 57'
M
21
R. Fernandez
M
69
A. Dmitriev
↓ 46'
F
11
Benchimol
F
91
M. Boldyrev
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
78
A. Vasyutin
G
32
I. Terekhovsky
G
15
S. Loncar
↑ 57' 🟨 90+4'
M
6
M. Kuzmin
M
89
D. Popenkov
M
23
K. Bistrovic
↑ 68'
M
8
K. Maradishvili
↑ 46'
M
5
A. Djurasovic
M
2
Y. Rocha
↑ 46'
D
81
N. Bazilevskiy
F
10
K. Arevalo
↑ 68'
FC Rostov 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
R. Yatimov
G
87
A. Langovich
D
4
V. Melekhin
⚽ 45'
D
78
D. Chistyakov
D
3
O. Sako
⚽ 42'
D
40
I. Vakhania
🟨 89'
D
62
I. Komarov
↓ 56'
M
10
K. Shchetinin
⚽ 21' 🎯 39' ↓ 73'
M
8
A. Mironov
↓ 90+3' 🟨 85'
M
99
T. Suleymanov
↓ 73'
F
9
M. Mohebi
⚽ 39' ↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
71
D. Odoevski
G
19
K. Bayramyan
M
69
E. Golenkov
↑ 56'
F
57
I. Zhbanov
M
22
D. Semenchuk
D
91
A. Shamonin
F
17
I. M. Ajasa
F
18
K. Kuchaev
↑ 90+3'
M
5
D. Prokhin
↑ 56'
D
7
Ronaldo
↑ 73'
F
58
D. Shantaliy
M
67
G. Ignatov
↑ 73'
D
Last matches: Akron
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Dynamo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Akron
Fakel
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Akron
Lokomotiv
0
3
L
06.07.26
Fri
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
3
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Akron
Rodina Moskva
5
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Akron
Baltika
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pre
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
0
1
L
20.05.26
Pre
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pre
Akron
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pre
Akron
Baltika
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Akron
Rubin
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dynamo
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Akron
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Akron
Lokomotiv
1
5
L
15.03.26
Pre
Akron
Akhmat
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akron
Spartak Moscow
3
4
L
28.02.26
Pre
Akron
FC Orenburg
0
2
L
Last matches: FC Rostov
15.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Fakel
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
3
3
D
07.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Fakel
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Dinamo Stavropol
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
2
5
L
18.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Noah
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
0
1
L
H2H: Akron vs FC Rostov
11.05.26
H2H
Akron
FC Rostov
1
3
L
01.11.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Akron
0
1
W
31.03.25
H2H
Akron
FC Rostov
2
3
L
18.02.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Akron
0
1
W
28.09.24
H2H
FC Rostov
Akron
0
2
W
Last matches: Akron
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Dynamo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Akron
Fakel
1
1
D
26.06.26
Fri
Akron
Baltika
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pre
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pre
Akron
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dynamo
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Akron
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Akron
Akhmat
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fri
Akron
Dalian Zhixing
2
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Akron
Hangzhou Greentown
3
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Akron
Dinamo Samarqand
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Akron
Rodina Moskva II
2
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Akron
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Akron
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
21.11.25
Pre
Akron
FC Sochi
3
2
W
26.10.25
Pre
Akron
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pre
Akron
Zenit
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pre
Akron
Rubin
2
2
D
H2H at home: Akron
11.05.26
H2H
Akron
FC Rostov
1
3
L
31.03.25
H2H
Akron
FC Rostov
2
3
L
Last matches: FC Rostov
11.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
3
3
D
07.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Fakel
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
2
5
L
18.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
23.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
05.10.25
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
3
3
D
17.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Rubin
0
1
L
26.07.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
20.07.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Zenit
1
2
L
H2H away: FC Rostov
11.05.26
H2H
Akron
FC Rostov
1
3
W
31.03.25
H2H
Akron
FC Rostov
2
3
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13
Akron Home
30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Akron 1 missing
-
K. Bistrovic
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
FC Rostov 1 missing
-
H. Hankic
Questionable Inactive
OUT