RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
11.05.2026 10:00
Samara Arena
Referee: P. Shadyhanov
Akron
Match Timeline
FC Rostov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
K. Shchetinin
FC Rostov
⚽
39'
M. Mohebi · Assist: K. Shchetinin
FC Rostov
⚽
42'
O. Sako
Akron
⚽
45'
V. Melekhin
FC Rostov
🔄
46'
A. Dmitriev ↔ K. Maradishvili
Akron
🔄
46'
R. Escoval ↔ Y. Rocha
Akron
🔄
56'
M. Mohebi ↔ E. Golenkov
FC Rostov
🔄
56'
I. Komarov ↔ D. Prokhin
FC Rostov
🔄
57'
I. Djakovac ↔ S. Loncar
Akron
🔄
68'
M. Boldyrev ↔ K. Bistrovic
Akron
🔄
68'
K. Khosonov ↔ K. Arevalo
Akron
🔄
73'
T. Suleymanov ↔ Ronaldo
FC Rostov
🔄
73'
K. Shchetinin ↔ G. Ignatov
FC Rostov
🟨
85'
Aleksey Mironov
FC Rostov
🟨
89'
Ilya Vakhaniya
FC Rostov
🟨
90+4'
Stefan Lončar
Akron
🔄
90+3'
A. Mironov ↔ K. Kuchaev
FC Rostov

Akron vs FC Rostov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 31.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
31.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Akron Win 34%
Draw 5.3%
FC Rostov Win 60.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron1.14
FC Rostov1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akron Akron
WWDLW
33 GF / 46 GA
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
19
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
6
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akron Akron 28 matches
FC Rostov FC Rostov 28 matches
Akron Statistic FC Rostov
6 Wins 7
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
33 Goals For 22
46 Goals Against 30
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
19 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 10
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.54
10.75 Total Shots 11.5
3.75 Corners 4.32
43.2% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Rostov. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Akron Analysis

So far, Akron have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 27 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 33:46 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Dzyuba (8 goals), Benchimol (6 goals), D. Pestryakov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Dzyuba (5 assists), D. Pestryakov (4 assists), Ifet Đakovac (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Bistrovic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

FC Rostov Analysis

From their first 28 matches, FC Rostov have collected 30 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 22:30 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo (6 goals), Timur Suleymanov (4 goals), Aleksey Mironov (2 goals), with creative support from Egor Golenkov (4 assists), M. Mohebi (2 assists), Kirill Shchetinin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Hankic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Akron won 3 times, FC Rostov won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Akron's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Akron 4-3-3 / FC Rostov 4-3-3
Missing players: Akron 1, FC Rostov 1
H2H summary: Akron wins 3, draws 0, FC Rostov wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13
Akron Home
30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation