RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Samara Arena
Referee: E. Bulanov
Akron
Match Timeline
FC Krasnodar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
55'
Jhon Córdoba
FC Krasnodar
🔄
57'
A. Dzyuba ↔ S. Loncar
Akron
🟨
63'
Ifet Đakovac
Akron
🔄
65'
K. Maradishvili ↔ M. Kuzmin
Akron
🟨
69'
Giovanni González
FC Krasnodar
🔄
71'
Joao Batxi ↔ J. Boselli
FC Krasnodar
🔄
71'
N. Krivtsov ↔ M. D. Cobnan
FC Krasnodar
72'
J. Cordoba · Assist: E. Spertsyan
FC Krasnodar
🔄
78'
I. Djakovac ↔ Y. Rocha
Akron
🔄
78'
I. Nedelcearu ↔ A. Morozov
Akron
🟨
82'
Joao Escoval
Akron
🔄
90+5'
E. Spertsyan ↔ V. Paltsev
FC Krasnodar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akron Win 22.6%
Draw 3.6%
FC Krasnodar Win 73.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron1.04
FC Krasnodar1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akron Akron
WWDLW
33 GF / 45 GA
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
WLDWL
55 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
19
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
15
3.85
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akron Akron 27 matches
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 27 matches
Akron Statistic FC Krasnodar
6 Wins 18
9 Draws 6
12 Losses 3
33 Goals For 55
45 Goals Against 21
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
19 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 11
4 Failed To Score 2
3.85 Shots On Goal 4.81
10.81 Total Shots 15.52
3.81 Corners 5.26
43.5% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Krasnodar's more proactive style and Akron's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Krasnodar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 60 points while Akron sit 10 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Krasnodar. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akron expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Krasnodar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Krasnodar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Akron Analysis

So far, Akron have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 27 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 33:45 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Dzyuba (8 goals), Benchimol (6 goals), D. Pestryakov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Dzyuba (5 assists), D. Pestryakov (4 assists), Ifet Đakovac (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Krasnodar Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 60 points from 27 games, FC Krasnodar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 55:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Cordoba (15 goals), E. Spertsyan (12 goals), Nikita Krivtsov (7 goals), with creative support from E. Spertsyan (14 assists), J. Cordoba (5 assists), Joao Batxi (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Akron won 0 times, FC Krasnodar won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Akron's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Akron 4-3-3 / FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Akron 0, FC Krasnodar 5
H2H summary: Akron wins 0, draws 1, FC Krasnodar wins 4
Stats
Akron Akron
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 2
8 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 6
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
262 Total passes 498
165 Passes accurate 405
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Akron
Formation
FC Krasnodar
V. Gudiev
V. Gudiev
D. Pestryakov
D. Pestryakov
R. Escoval
R. Escoval
I. Nedelcearu
I. Nedelcearu
M. Bokoev
M. Bokoev
R. Fernandez
R. Fernandez
I. Djakovac
I. Djakovac
K. Khosonov
K. Khosonov
K. Maradishvili
K. Maradishvili
Benchimol
Benchimol
A. Dzyuba
A. Dzyuba
S. Agkatsev
S. Agkatsev
G. Gonzalez
G. Gonzalez
Tormena
Tormena
Jubal Junior
Jubal Junior
L. Olaza
L. Olaza
A. Chernikov
A. Chernikov
K. Lenini
K. Lenini
Joao Batxi
Joao Batxi
E. Spertsyan
🎯
E. Spertsyan
N. Krivtsov
N. Krivtsov
J. Cordoba
J. Cordoba
Akron 5-4-1
Starting XI
88
V. Gudiev
G
71
D. Pestryakov
D
26
R. Escoval
🟨 82'
D
24
I. Nedelcearu
↓ 78'
D
19
M. Bokoev
D
21
R. Fernandez
D
35
I. Djakovac
↓ 78' 🟨 63'
M
80
K. Khosonov
M
8
K. Maradishvili
↓ 65'
M
11
Benchimol
M
22
A. Dzyuba
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
78
A. Vasyutin
G
96
V. Postrigan
G
15
S. Loncar
↑ 57'
M
6
M. Kuzmin
↑ 65'
M
89
D. Popenkov
M
5
A. Djurasovic
M
2
Y. Rocha
↑ 78'
D
90
A. Morozov
↑ 78'
F
81
N. Bazilevskiy
F
69
A. Dmitriev
F
10
K. Arevalo
FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Agkatsev
G
20
G. Gonzalez
🟨 69'
D
3
Tormena
D
5
Jubal Junior
D
15
L. Olaza
D
53
A. Chernikov
M
6
K. Lenini
M
11
Joao Batxi
↓ 71'
M
10
E. Spertsyan
🎯 72' ↓ 90+5'
M
88
N. Krivtsov
↓ 71'
M
9
J. Cordoba
⚽ 72'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Koryakin
G
34
A. Karpenko
G
23
J. Boselli
↑ 71'
F
17
V. Paltsev
↑ 90+5'
D
59
A. Khmarin
D
27
E. Burkin
M
66
Douglas Augusto
M
90
M. D. Cobnan
↑ 71'
F
Last matches: Akron
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Dynamo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Akron
Fakel
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Akron
Lokomotiv
0
3
L
06.07.26
Fri
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
3
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Akron
Rodina Moskva
5
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Akron
Baltika
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pre
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
0
1
L
20.05.26
Pre
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
1
4
L
11.05.26
Pre
Akron
FC Rostov
1
3
L
27.04.26
Pre
Akron
Baltika
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Akron
Rubin
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dynamo
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Akron
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Akron
Lokomotiv
1
5
L
15.03.26
Pre
Akron
Akhmat
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akron
Spartak Moscow
3
4
L
28.02.26
Pre
Akron
FC Orenburg
0
2
L
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
19.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
3
3
D
25.06.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
4
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
2
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
3
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
27.01.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
H2H: Akron vs FC Krasnodar
03.05.26
H2H
Akron
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
13.09.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akron
2
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akron
1
0
L
21.09.24
H2H
Akron
FC Krasnodar
2
5
L
03.05.23
H2H
Krasnodar
Akron
0
0
D
Last matches: Akron
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Akron
Dynamo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Akron
Fakel
1
1
D
26.06.26
Fri
Akron
Baltika
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pre
Akron
Rotor Volgograd
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pre
Akron
FC Rostov
1
3
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Akron
Dynamo
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Akron
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Akron
Akhmat
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fri
Akron
Dalian Zhixing
2
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Akron
Hangzhou Greentown
3
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Akron
Dinamo Samarqand
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Akron
Rodina Moskva II
2
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Akron
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Akron
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
21.11.25
Pre
Akron
FC Sochi
3
2
W
26.10.25
Pre
Akron
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pre
Akron
Zenit
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pre
Akron
Rubin
2
2
D
H2H at home: Akron
03.05.26
H2H
Akron
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Akron
FC Krasnodar
2
5
L
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
11.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
1
L
03.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
23.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
6
0
W
10.08.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
20.07.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
W
H2H away: FC Krasnodar
03.05.26
H2H
Akron
FC Krasnodar
0
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Akron
FC Krasnodar
2
5
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13
Akron Home
30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Akron 0 missing
No missing players data
FC Krasnodar 5 missing
-
A. Koksharov
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
S. Petrov
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
V. Stezhko
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Diego Costa
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Victor Sa
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT