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21.11.2026 12:15
Samara Arena

Akron vs Fakel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Akron Win 36.2%
Draw 25.7%
Fakel Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron1.37
Fakel1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akron Akron
L L W D L
6 GF / 7 GA
Fakel Fakel
L L L W L
3 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
15
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
12
3.93
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akron Akron 28 matches
Fakel Fakel 26 matches
Akron Statistic Fakel
10 Wins 6
7 Draws 8
11 Losses 12
38 Goals For 29
42 Goals Against 36
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
15 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 15
17 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 9
3.93 Shots On Goal 2.5
12.07 Total Shots 10.79
4.36 Corners 4.64
52.7% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fakel. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akron expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fakel in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fakel having the stronger overall control.

Akron Analysis

Akron sit 14 with 12 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 17:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gilson Benchimol (4 goals), S. Lončar (2 goals), A. Shumanskiy (2 goals), with creative support from Gilson Benchimol (2 assists), R. Fernández (2 assists), S. Tedić (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fakel Analysis

Fakel approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 6 points from 14 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 9:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through V. Yakimov (2 goals), A. Sutormin (1 goals), M. Bardachev (1 goals), with creative support from I. Alshin (2 assists), A. Sutormin (1 assists), B. Pusi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Akron won 5 times, Fakel won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Akron's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.3%)
Predicted formations: Akron 4-3-3 / Fakel 5-3-2
H2H summary: Akron wins 5, draws 1, Fakel wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 32:15 17 31
D W W W W
2 14 10 1 3 23:13 10 31
W W L W W
3 14 9 2 3 27:11 16 29
W W L W D
4 14 7 5 2 25:18 7 26
W L D D L
5 14 7 5 2 23:16 7 26
L D W L W
6 14 5 4 5 18:19 -1 19
D W W D W
7 14 4 6 4 19:20 -1 18
W L W L D
8 14 4 6 4 14:18 -4 18
W W L L L
9 14 4 5 5 17:15 2 17
L W D D D
10 14 3 8 3 14:14 0 17
L D W D W
11 14 5 1 8 17:26 -9 16
W L L D L
12 14 3 5 6 16:19 -3 14
W L L L D
13 14 3 3 8 15:29 -14 12
L W W D L
14
Akron Home
14 2 6 6 17:25 -8 12
L L W D L
15 14 2 5 7 16:21 -5 11
L L L D W
16
Fakel Away
14 1 3 10 9:23 -14 6
L L L W L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL