RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
23.04.2026 14:30
Samara Arena
Referee: S. Ivanov
Akron
Match Timeline
Dinamo Makhachkala
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
R. Fernandez · Assist: M. Kuzmin
Akron
🔄
46'
M. Kuzmin ↔ I. Djakovac
Akron
🔄
64'
G. Agalarov ↔ J. Dapo
Dinamo Makhachkala
🟨
69'
Temirkan Sundukov
Dinamo Makhachkala
⚽
75'
M. Hosseinnejad
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
82'
A. Djurasovic ↔ K. Khosonov
Akron
🔄
82'
M. Boldyrev ↔ K. Arevalo
Akron
🔄
82'
H. Mastouri ↔ A. Sandrachuk
Dinamo Makhachkala

Akron vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Akron Win 48.1%
Draw 22.8%
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron1.24
Dinamo Makhachkala1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akron Akron
WWDLW
31 GF / 44 GA
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala
WLDWL
15 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
18
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
5
3.76
Shots on Goal
2.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akron Akron 25 matches
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 25 matches
Akron Statistic Dinamo Makhachkala
5 Wins 5
8 Draws 8
12 Losses 12
31 Goals For 15
44 Goals Against 31
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
18 BTTS Yes 8
23 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 13
3.76 Shots On Goal 2.72
10.76 Total Shots 9.88
3.92 Corners 4.56
43.7% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Dinamo Makhachkala seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akron expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dinamo Makhachkala in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Makhachkala having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Dinamo Makhachkala. Akron have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Akron Analysis

Akron sit 11 with 23 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 28:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Dzyuba (8 goals), Benchimol (5 goals), D. Pestryakov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Dzyuba (5 assists), D. Pestryakov (4 assists), Ifet Đakovac (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Bokoev unavailable.

Dinamo Makhachkala Analysis

Dinamo Makhachkala are currently 12 in the standings with 23 points from 25 matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 15:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Agalarov (6 goals), M. Hosseinnejad (3 goals), Hazem Mastouri (2 goals), with creative support from G. Agalarov (1 assists), M. Hosseinnejad (1 assists), N. Glushkov (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Sandrachuk, I. Shumakhov, M. Azzi, S. Kagermazov unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Akron won 4 times, Dinamo Makhachkala won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Akron's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.2%)
Predicted formations: Akron 4-3-3 / Dinamo Makhachkala 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Akron 1, Dinamo Makhachkala 4
H2H summary: Akron wins 4, draws 4, Dinamo Makhachkala wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13
Akron Home
30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation