RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
17.09.2026 15:30
Samara Arena

Akron vs Akhmat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akron Win 22.4%
Draw 25.3%
Akhmat Win 52.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron1.21
Akhmat1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akron Akron
WWDLW
29 GF / 30 GA
Akhmat Akhmat
WLDWL
37 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
10
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
11
4
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akron Akron 20 matches
Akhmat Akhmat 21 matches
Akron Statistic Akhmat
8 Wins 11
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 4
29 Goals For 37
30 Goals Against 18
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
10 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 4.29
11.71 Total Shots 13.57
4.86 Corners 4.71
53.1% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Akhmat's more proactive style and Akron's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akron expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Akhmat in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akhmat having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Akhmat. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Akron Analysis

Akron approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 4 points from 7 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gilson Benchimol (3 goals), S. Lončar (1 goals), Y. Rocha (1 goals), with creative support from Gilson Benchimol (2 assists), S. Lončar (1 assists), Y. Rocha (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Akhmat Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Akhmat have collected 7 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Georgiy Melkadze (2 goals), Egas Cacintura (2 goals), E. Maksuti (1 goals), with creative support from A. Adamov (1 assists), L. Sadulaev (1 assists), M. Konaté (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Akron won 1 times, Akhmat won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Akron's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.6%)
Predicted formations: Akron 5-4-1 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Akron wins 1, draws 2, Akhmat wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 13:6 7 19
D W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 11:7 4 15
W D W W D
3 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L W
4 7 4 1 2 12:7 5 13
L D W W L
5 7 4 0 3 14:6 8 12
L W L W L
6 7 4 0 3 12:10 2 12
W L L W L
7 7 3 1 3 10:7 3 10
L W D L W
8 7 2 4 1 10:9 1 10
D W D D D
9 8 2 4 2 12:13 -1 10
W D D W L
10 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
W L L D D
11 7 1 5 1 7:9 -2 8
D D D D D
12 7 1 4 2 10:9 1 7
D D W L D
13 7 1 3 3 6:8 -2 6
W L L D D
14 8 1 1 6 9:21 -12 4
L L L L D
15
Akron Home
7 0 4 3 8:17 -9 4
D D L D D
16 7 0 2 5 4:10 -6 2
L L D L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL