CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
01.05.2026 16:00
Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Referee: P. Ilic
Akritas
Match Timeline
Ethnikos Achna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
G. Chatzivasilis
Akritas
🔄
17'
B. Anang ↔ Carlitos
Akritas
🟨
45+2'
Pavel Zabelin
Akritas
🔄
46'
R. Ofori ↔ M. Pechlivanis
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
64'
G. Chatzivasilis ↔ Y. Castro
Akritas
🔄
64'
E. Vignato ↔ J. Romo
Akritas
🔄
67'
Luis Felipe ↔ P. Gonzalez
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
74'
Neneco ↔ J. Siverio
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
80'
L. Machado ↔ R. Camacho
Ethnikos Achna
🔄
88'
E. Taffertshofer ↔ G. Vasiliou
Akritas
🟨
89'
Ioakeim Toumpas
Ethnikos Achna
🟨
90+3'
Christos Giousis
Ethnikos Achna
🟨
90+3'
Pablo Gonzalez
Ethnikos Achna
🟨
90+1'
Christos Giousis
Ethnikos Achna
🟥
90+3'
Christos Giousis
Ethnikos Achna

Akritas vs Ethnikos Achna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 34.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
34.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akritas Win 31.8%
Draw 34.2%
Ethnikos Achna Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akritas1.21
Ethnikos Achna1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akritas Akritas
WWDLW
28 GF / 54 GA
Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna
WLDWL
30 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
11
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
16
0.85
Shots on Goal
1.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akritas Akritas 30 matches
Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 30 matches
Akritas Statistic Ethnikos Achna
9 Wins 9
5 Draws 3
16 Losses 18
28 Goals For 30
54 Goals Against 49
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
11 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 5
13 Failed To Score 13
0.85 Shots On Goal 1.07
3.22 Total Shots 2.44
1.44 Corners 1.04
17.5% Ball Possession 15.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Akritas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ethnikos Achna. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akritas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ethnikos Achna in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ethnikos Achna having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Akritas Analysis

Akritas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 32 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 28:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ioannis Chatzivasilis (5 goals), J. Romo (5 goals), S. Miller (3 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ethnikos Achna Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Ethnikos Achna have collected 30 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 18 losses, while the 30:49 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Andereggen (12 goals), C. Giousis (7 goals), Breno Almeida (3 goals), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Akritas won 2 times, Ethnikos Achna won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Akritas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (68.2%)
Predicted formations: Akritas 4-2-3-1 / Ethnikos Achna 5-4-1
H2H summary: Akritas wins 2, draws 1, Ethnikos Achna wins 2

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)