Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Akhmat Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fakel Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akhmat1.62
Fakel1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akhmat
WWDLW
28 GF / 10 GA
Fakel
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
6
8
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Akhmat
15 matches
Fakel
12 matches
| Akhmat | Statistic | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 28 | Goals For | 20 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 22 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat won 1 times, Fakel won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Akhmat's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Akhmat 4-2-3-1 / Fakel 5-3-2
H2H summary: Akhmat wins 1, draws 2, Fakel wins 3
Last matches: Akhmat
26.07.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
Last matches: Fakel
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H: Akhmat vs Fakel
05.04.25
H2H
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
18.10.24
H2H
Akhmat
Fakel
2
3
L
25.05.24
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
W
16.04.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh
2
1
L
Last matches: Akhmat
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Olmaliq
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Bars
2
0
W
02.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
FK Vozdovac
3
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
FC UFA
1
2
L
29.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Vardar Skopje
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
05.12.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dynamo
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
27.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
2
4
L
27.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
3
0
W
H2H at home: Akhmat
18.10.24
H2H
Akhmat
Fakel
2
3
L
Last matches: Fakel
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H away: Fakel
18.10.24
H2H
Akhmat
Fakel
2
3
W