Akhmat vs Baltika Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75%
|
- |
Akhmat
Baltika
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Akhmat
25 matches
Baltika
25 matches
| Akhmat | Statistic | Baltika |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 10 | Losses | 2 |
| 30 | Goals For | 36 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.6 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.64 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 12.08 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 4.24 | Corners | 3.36 |
| 45.2% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Baltika's more proactive style and Akhmat's more cautious structure. Baltika seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akhmat expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Baltika in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baltika having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Baltika carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 45 points while Akhmat sit 9 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Baltika. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Akhmat are currently 9 in the standings with 31 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 29:31 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Cacintura (7 goals), G. Melkadze (7 goals), M. Samorodov (5 goals), with creative support from M. Samorodov (4 assists), E. Cacintura (3 assists), M. Konate (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Sidorov unavailable.
Baltika arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 45 points after 25 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 34:13 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Gil (13 goals), Maksim Petrov (7 goals), C. Offor (3 goals), with creative support from Ilya Petrov (4 assists), Nathan Gassama (3 assists), Maksim Petrov (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without T. Yenne, E. Civic, C. Offor, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat won 0 times, Baltika won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:19 from Akhmat's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Baltika
Away
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Akhmat
Home
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|