SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
73.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
AJEL Win 87.6%
Draw 0%
La Linguère Win 12.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
AJEL0.99
La Linguère0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
AJEL AJEL
WWDLW
24 GF / 18 GA
La Linguère La Linguère
WLDWL
20 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
7
BTTS Yes
11
3
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AJEL AJEL 28 matches
La Linguère La Linguère 28 matches
AJEL Statistic La Linguère
13 Wins 3
9 Draws 15
6 Losses 10
24 Goals For 20
18 Goals Against 33
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
7 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 17
3 Over 2.5 8
0 Over 3.5 6
16 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around AJEL's more proactive style and La Linguère's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward La Linguère having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward La Linguère. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. AJEL arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 48 points compared to La Linguère in 14 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AJEL Analysis

AJEL come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 48 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

La Linguère Analysis

La Linguère sit 14 with 24 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 15 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 20:33, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AJEL won 2 times, La Linguère won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from AJEL's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: AJEL wins 2, draws 0, La Linguère wins 2
Last matches: AJEL
04.06.26
Lig
AJEL
Génération Foot
1
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Gorée
1
2
L
13.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Teungueth
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Stade de Mbour
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
AJEL
Wally Daan
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
AJEL
DSC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
AJEL
Ouakam
1
0
W
29.03.26
Lig
AJEL
HLM
0
3
L
25.03.26
Lig
AJEL
AS Camberene
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Casa Sport
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Jaraaf
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Pikine
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
AJEL
Sonacos
1
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
AJEL
Génération Foot
2
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
AJEL
La Linguère
0
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Gorée
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Teungueth
0
2
L
07.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
Last matches: La Linguère
04.06.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
4
L
12.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
2
2
D
15.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
2
3
L
H2H: AJEL vs La Linguère
22.05.26
H2H
AJEL
La Linguère
2
1
W
08.02.26
H2H
La Linguère
AJEL
2
0
L
21.06.25
H2H
AJEL
La Linguère
1
0
W
03.02.25
H2H
La Linguère
AJEL
2
1
L
Last matches: AJEL
13.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Stade de Mbour
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
AJEL
Ouakam
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
AJEL
AS Camberene
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Jaraaf
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
AJEL
Sonacos
1
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
AJEL
Génération Foot
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Gorée
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Teungueth
0
2
L
28.12.25
Lig
AJEL
Wally Daan
0
0
D
21.12.25
Lig
AJEL
DSC
1
1
D
07.12.25
Lig
AJEL
HLM
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lig
AJEL
Casa Sport
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lig
AJEL
Pikine
1
0
W
H2H at home: AJEL
22.05.26
H2H
AJEL
La Linguère
2
1
W
21.06.25
H2H
AJEL
La Linguère
1
0
W
Last matches: La Linguère
13.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
3
L
07.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
2
3
L
21.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
0
D
06.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
2
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
H2H away: La Linguère
22.05.26
H2H
AJEL
La Linguère
2
1
L
21.06.25
H2H
AJEL
La Linguère
1
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2
AJEL Home
30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation