Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 55.1%
Draw 3.6%
PSV Eindhoven Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.1
PSV Eindhoven2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
41 GF / 21 GA
PSV Eindhoven
WLDWL
24 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.41
Average Goals Scored
3
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
12
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
7
9
Shots on Goal
8.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
17 matches
PSV Eindhoven
8 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 41 | Goals For | 24 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots On Goal | 8.67 |
| 24.25 | Total Shots | 21.67 |
| 9 | Corners | 8.33 |
| 65% | Ball Possession | 65.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 4 times, PSV Eindhoven won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:31 from Ajax's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ajax wins 4, draws 5, PSV Eindhoven wins 6
Last matches: Ajax
27.08.26
UEF
Ajax
FC Sion
5
3
W
20.08.26
UEF
Ajax
FC Sion
4
2
W
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
23.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
5
1
W
15.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
D
02.08.26
Sup
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
28.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
11.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
H2H: Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven
02.05.26
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
21.09.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
30.03.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
0
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
5
2
L
30.04.23
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
3
0
L
06.11.22
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
30.07.22
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
3
5
L
17.04.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
1
L
23.01.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
1
2
W
24.10.21
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
5
0
W
07.08.21
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
L
28.02.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
1
1
D
Last matches: Ajax
27.08.26
UEF
Ajax
FC Sion
5
3
W
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
H2H at home: Ajax
02.05.26
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
02.11.24
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
30.04.23
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
06.11.22
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
30.07.22
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
3
5
L
24.10.21
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
5
0
W
07.08.21
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
L
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
15.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
1
3
L
28.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
3
1
W
13.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
2
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
0
3
L
17.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
21.12.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
2
1
W
06.12.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
2
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Liverpool
4
1
W
22.11.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
1
0
W
09.11.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
W
04.11.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
26.10.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
2
W
04.10.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
4
0
W
01.10.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
27.09.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
2
1
W
H2H away: PSV Eindhoven
02.05.26
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
02.11.24
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
30.04.23
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
06.11.22
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
W
30.07.22
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
3
5
W
24.10.21
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
5
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
W
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
Away
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Ajax
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie