NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

05.09.2026 18:00

Ajax

1 - 3

PSV Eindhoven

Johan Cruijff Arena

Referee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands

Ajax

Match Timeline

PSV Eindhoven

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 55.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 82.5%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 87%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	55.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	82.5%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	87%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Ajax Win 55.1%

Draw 3.6%

PSV Eindhoven Win 41.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

Ajax2.12

PSV Eindhoven2.47

Recent Form (Last 5)

Ajax

WWDLW

45 GF / 21 GA

PSV Eindhoven

WLDWL

30 GF / 14 GA

Key Stats

2.5

Average Goals Scored

3.33

1.17

Average Goals Conceded

1.56

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax 18 matches

PSV Eindhoven 9 matches

Ajax	Statistic	PSV Eindhoven
12	Wins	6
4	Draws	2
2	Losses	1
45	Goals For	30
21	Goals Against	14
2.5	Avg Goals Scored	3.33
1.17	Avg Goals Conceded	1.56
12	BTTS Yes	8
15	Over 1.5	9
13	Over 2.5	8
12	Over 3.5	6
5	Clean Sheets	1
1	Failed To Score	0
9	Shots On Goal	10
22.89	Total Shots	23.75
8.44	Corners	9.5
64.2%	Ball Possession	65.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 4 times, PSV Eindhoven won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:31 from Ajax's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)

Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Ajax 3, PSV Eindhoven 6

H2H summary: Ajax wins 4, draws 5, PSV Eindhoven wins 6

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	20	20	W W W W D
2	PSV Eindhoven Away	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19	W L W W W
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19	L W D W W
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17	D W W W D
5	Ajax Home	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15	D D W W L
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	20:14	6	14	W W D D L
7	Fortuna Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14	D W L W W
8	GO Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11	D D D D L
9	Excelsior	8	3	2	3	16:14	2	11	L D L D W
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9	L W D L D
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9	D D L D L
12	Cambuur	8	2	2	4	11:19	-8	8	W D W D L
13	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14:25	-11	8	W L W D L
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6	D L L D L
15	Telstar	8	1	3	4	7:14	-7	6	D L D L D
16	PEC Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6:21	-15	4	L L L D L
17	ADO Den Haag	8	0	3	5	9:19	-10	3	D D L L D
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	7:23	-16	2	L L L D L