04.07.2026 15:00
Sportpark De Zanderij
Referee: A. Bos
Ajax
Match Timeline
Panathinaikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
D. Calabria ↔ T. Tsapras
Panathinaikos
15'
A. Tetteh · Assist: T. Tsapras
Panathinaikos
30'
A. Zaroury · Assist: A. Jagusic
Panathinaikos
43'
D. Konadu · Assist: O. Gloukh
Ajax
🔄
46'
M. Paes ↔ P. Reverson
Ajax
🔄
46'
S. Berghuis ↔ A. Appiah
Ajax
🔄
46'
O. Wijndal ↔ D. Janse
Ajax
🔄
46'
D. Konadu ↔ J. Amour
Ajax
🔄
46'
S. Steur ↔ A. Ouazane
Ajax
🔄
46'
A. Bouwman ↔ D. Klaassen
Ajax
🔄
46'
L. Rosa ↔ M. Carrizo
Ajax
🔄
46'
Y. Baas ↔ J. Mokio
Ajax
🔄
46'
O. Gloukh ↔ J. Johnson
Ajax
🔄
46'
Y. Regeer ↔ M. Abdalla
Ajax
🔄
46'
A. Gnezda Cerin ↔ P. Chirivella
Panathinaikos
🔄
46'
A. Zaroury ↔ S. Kontouris
Panathinaikos
🔄
46'
S. I. Ingason ↔ G. Katris
Panathinaikos
🔄
62'
A. Tetteh ↔ E. Rastoder
Panathinaikos
🔄
63'
E. Camara ↔ M. Siopis
Panathinaikos
🔄
63'
S. Andino ↔ V. Taborda
Panathinaikos
🔄
63'
A. Jagusic ↔ P. Pantelidis
Panathinaikos
🔄
68'
P. Nash ↔ M. Muzungu
Ajax
🔄
72'
G. Kyriakopoulos ↔ P. Biniaris
Panathinaikos
74'
V. Taborda · Assist: P. Biniaris
Panathinaikos
🔄
78'
A. Touba ↔ V. Lavdas
Panathinaikos
🟨
82'
P. Biniaris
Panathinaikos

Ajax vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 44.3%
Draw 26%
Panathinaikos Win 29.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax1.2
Panathinaikos2.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax Ajax
WWDLW
6 GF / 3 GA
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
WLDWL
4 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
4
1
Average Goals Conceded
0
1
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax Ajax 3 matches
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1 matches
Ajax Statistic Panathinaikos
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
6 Goals For 4
3 Goals Against 0
2 Avg Goals Scored 4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0
1 BTTS Yes 0
2 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 3 times, Panathinaikos won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Ajax's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 3, draws 0, Panathinaikos wins 2