NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
10.10.2026 19:00
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
NEC Nijmegen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.34
NEC Nijmegen1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax Ajax
WWDLW
58 GF / 28 GA
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
WLDWL
31 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.64
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
16
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
15
9.08
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax Ajax 22 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 19 matches
Ajax Statistic NEC Nijmegen
14 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 10
58 Goals For 31
28 Goals Against 36
2.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
16 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 15
16 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 5
9.08 Shots On Goal 4.25
24.46 Total Shots 14.25
8.54 Corners 4.17
65.2% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 8 times, NEC Nijmegen won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:16 from Ajax's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 8, draws 6, NEC Nijmegen wins 1

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 18:6 12 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 2 0 25:7 18 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 24:10 14 16
L W W W W
4 7 5 1 1 15:7 8 16
W W W D W
5
Ajax Home
7 4 2 1 21:9 12 14
D W W L W
6 7 4 1 2 13:14 -1 13
W L W W L
7 7 3 2 2 15:9 6 11
D L D W W
8 7 3 2 2 15:13 2 11
W D D L L
9 7 2 4 1 16:14 2 10
D D D L W
10 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
W D L D L
11 7 2 2 3 12:13 -1 8
D L D L W
12 7 1 2 4 10:17 -7 5
L L D L D
13 7 1 2 4 5:12 -7 5
L D L D L
14 7 1 2 4 10:19 -9 5
D W D L L
15 7 1 2 4 11:24 -13 5
L W D L D
16 7 1 1 5 6:20 -14 4
L L D L W
17 7 0 2 5 7:17 -10 2
D L L D L
18 7 0 2 5 6:20 -14 2
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie