Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
NEC Nijmegen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax1.88
NEC Nijmegen1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
32 GF / 16 GA
NEC Nijmegen
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
8.17
Shots on Goal
6.2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
15 matches
NEC Nijmegen
12 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 6 |
| 32 | Goals For | 24 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 8.17 | Shots On Goal | 6.2 |
| 24.17 | Total Shots | 19.8 |
| 10 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 67.2% | Ball Possession | 61.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 8 times, NEC Nijmegen won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:16 from Ajax's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 8, draws 6, NEC Nijmegen wins 1
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
19.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
15.08.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
4
1
W
11.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
2
L
04.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Sevilla
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Al-Fayha
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Anderlecht
2
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
MSV Duisburg
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
De Treffers
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
W
H2H: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
21.02.26
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
20.12.25
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
2
2
D
11.05.25
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
L
01.12.24
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
1
2
W
18.02.24
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
03.12.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
1
2
W
05.03.23
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
0
W
08.01.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
1
1
D
23.04.22
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
0
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
5
0
W
08.04.17
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
1
5
W
20.11.16
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
5
0
W
13.03.16
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
23.08.15
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
0
2
W
03.05.14
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ajax
21.02.26
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
L
18.02.24
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
05.03.23
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
0
W
14.08.21
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
5
0
W
20.11.16
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
5
0
W
13.03.16
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
03.05.14
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
15.08.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
4
1
W
04.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Anderlecht
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
De Treffers
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
2
0
W
14.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
W
21.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
1
1
D
17.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
3
1
W
17.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
4
3
W
13.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
2
2
D
07.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
3
2
W
23.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
4
2
W
02.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0
1
L
25.10.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
05.10.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
21.09.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
3
L
31.08.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2
3
L
H2H away: NEC Nijmegen
21.02.26
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
W
18.02.24
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
05.03.23
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
0
L
14.08.21
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
5
0
L
20.11.16
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
5
0
L
13.03.16
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
03.05.14
H2H
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
NEC Nijmegen
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie