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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Ajax
FT
1 - 2
Excelsior
Johan Cruijff Arena
Referee: Joey Kooij, Netherlands
Ajax
Match Timeline
Excelsior
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Wout Weghorst
Ajax
🟨
24'
Ilias Bronkhorst
Excelsior
⚽
37'
N. Naujoks · Assist: R. Meissen
Excelsior
⚽
46'
N. Naujoks
Excelsior
🔄
52'
L. Hartjes ↔ A. Carlen
Excelsior
🟨
57'
Josip Šutalo
Ajax
🔄
57'
A. Gaaei ↔ K. Dolberg
Ajax
⚽
59'
K. Dolberg · Assist: M. Godts
Ajax
🔄
66'
D. Sanches Fernandes ↔ S. Mitrovic
Excelsior
🔄
66'
J. Bergraaf ↔ M. van Duinen
Excelsior
🔄
76'
G. Alders ↔ O. Wijndal
Ajax
🔄
76'
O. Edvardsen ↔ R. Moro
Ajax
🔄
84'
J. Sutalo ↔ D. Klaassen
Ajax
🔄
84'
C. Widell ↔ L. Schouten
Excelsior
🔄
84'
N. Martens ↔ S. Janssen
Excelsior

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax1.63
Excelsior1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax Ajax
WWDLW
23 GF / 31 GA
Excelsior Excelsior
WLDWL
11 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
10
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
8
5.06
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax Ajax 16 matches
Excelsior Excelsior 12 matches
Ajax Statistic Excelsior
5 Wins 3
5 Draws 1
6 Losses 8
23 Goals For 11
31 Goals Against 23
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
10 BTTS Yes 7
16 Over 1.5 9
10 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
5.06 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.94 Total Shots 12.58
5 Corners 4.5
54.9% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 10 times, Excelsior won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 44:16 from Ajax's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Ajax 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 10, draws 4, Excelsior wins 1
Stats
Ajax Ajax
Excelsior Excelsior
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 2
4 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
631 Total passes 360
555 Passes accurate 285
1.44 expected_goals 0.51
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ajax
Formation
Excelsior
R. Pasveer
R. Pasveer
A. Gaaei
↓
A. Gaaei
J. Sutalo
↓
J. Sutalo
Y. Baas
Y. Baas
G. Alders
↓
G. Alders
Y. Regeer
Y. Regeer
K. Taylor
K. Taylor
O. Edvardsen
↓
O. Edvardsen
O. Gloukh
O. Gloukh
M. Godts
🎯
M. Godts
W. Weghorst
W. Weghorst
S. van Gassel
S. van Gassel
I. Bronkhorst
I. Bronkhorst
C. Widell
↓
C. Widell
R. Meissen
🎯
R. Meissen
N. Martens
↓
N. Martens
I. Yegoian
I. Yegoian
L. Hartjes
↓
L. Hartjes
D. Sanches Fernandes
↓
D. Sanches Fernandes
N. Naujoks
⚽ 2
N. Naujoks
G. de Regt
G. de Regt
J. Bergraaf
↓
J. Bergraaf
Ajax 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
R. Pasveer
G
3
A. Gaaei
↓ 57'
D
37
J. Sutalo
↓ 84' 🟨 57'
D
15
Y. Baas
D
41
G. Alders
↓ 76'
D
6
Y. Regeer
M
8
K. Taylor
M
17
O. Edvardsen
↓ 76'
M
10
O. Gloukh
M
11
M. Godts
🎯 59'
M
25
W. Weghorst
🟨 16'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Jaros
G
52
P. Reverson
G
4
K. Itakura
D
5
O. Wijndal
↑ 76'
D
7
R. Moro
↑ 76'
F
9
K. Dolberg
⚽ 59' ↑ 57'
F
16
J. McConnell
M
18
D. Klaassen
↑ 84'
M
24
J. Mokio
D
28
K. Fitz-Jim
M
43
R. Bounida
F
48
S. Steur
M
Excelsior 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. van Gassel
G
2
I. Bronkhorst
🟨 24'
D
4
C. Widell
↓ 84'
D
3
R. Meissen
🎯 37'
D
17
N. Martens
↓ 84'
D
23
I. Yegoian
M
20
L. Hartjes
↓ 52'
M
30
D. Sanches Fernandes
↓ 66'
M
10
N. Naujoks
⚽ 37' ⚽ 46'
M
11
G. de Regt
M
33
J. Bergraaf
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
16
C. Raatsie
G
5
S. Henderikx
D
6
A. Carlen
↑ 52'
M
9
S. Wlodarczyk
F
14
L. Schouten
↑ 84'
D
15
S. Janssen
↑ 84'
D
22
S. Mitrovic
↑ 66'
F
25
S. Middendorp
M
29
M. van Duinen
↑ 66'
F
34
N. El Hamdaoui
M
Last matches: Ajax
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
H2H: Ajax vs Excelsior
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
L
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
W
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
W
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
W
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
W
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
W
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
W
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
W
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
W
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
Last matches: Ajax
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
H2H at home: Ajax
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
L
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
W
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
W
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
W
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
W
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
W
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
01.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
2
1
W
24.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
1
4
L
H2H away: Excelsior
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
W
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
L
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
L
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
L
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
L
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
PSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2
Feyenoord
34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3
NEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4
Twente
34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5
Ajax Home
34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6
Utrecht
34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7
AZ Alkmaar
34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8
Heerenveen
34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9
Groningen
34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10
Sparta Rotterdam
34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11
Fortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12
GO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13
Excelsior Away
34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14
Telstar
34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15
PEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16
FC Volendam
34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17
NAC Breda
34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18
Heracles
34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie