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--.--.---- --:--
Ajax
FT
2 - 1
Burnley
Johan Cruijff Arena
Referee: M. Nagtegaal
Ajax
Match Timeline
Burnley
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
34'
A. Bouwman
Ajax
🔄
46'
J. Heerkens ↔ P. Reverson
Ajax
🔄
46'
A. Bouwman ↔ D. Blind
Ajax
🔄
46'
M. Carrizo ↔ D. Klaassen
Ajax
🔄
46'
Marcos Leonardo ↔ D. Konadu
Ajax
🔄
46'
J. Johnson ↔ M. Abdalla
Ajax
🔄
46'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Burnley
🔄
46'
M. Edwards ↔ L. Koleosho
Burnley
🔄
61'
J. Mokio ↔ M. Godts
Ajax
⚽
62'
J. Banel · Assist: L. Koleosho
Burnley
⚽
67'
A. Ouazane · Assist: D. Konadu
Ajax
🔄
68'
C. Roberts ↔ J. Worrall
Burnley
🔄
69'
A. Ouazane ↔ K. Fitz-Jim
Ajax
🔄
69'
O. Edvardsen ↔ S. Berghuis
Ajax
🔄
70'
Lucas Pires ↔ O. Sonne
Burnley
🔄
70'
J. Banel ↔ A. Hountondji
Burnley
🔄
70'
A. Ramsey ↔ L. Castell
Burnley
🔄
70'
K. Walker ↔ S. Sambo
Burnley
🟨
78'
L. Castell
Burnley
🟨
85'
A. Gaaei
Ajax
🔄
85'
H. Mejbri ↔ M. Campbell
Burnley
🔄
85'
J. Laurent ↔ E. Clark
Burnley
🔄
85'
B. Humphreys ↔ G. Brierley
Burnley

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 68.5%
Draw 13.6%
Burnley Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.12
Burnley1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax Ajax
WWDLW
14 GF / 8 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
10
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax Ajax 8 matches
Burnley Burnley 3 matches
Ajax Statistic Burnley
4 Wins 0
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
14 Goals For 3
8 Goals Against 8
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
10 Shots On Goal 0
18 Total Shots 0
10 Corners 0
66% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 1 times, Burnley won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Ajax's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / Burnley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 1, draws 0, Burnley wins 0

Lineups

Ajax
Formation
Burnley
J. Heerkens
↓
J. Heerkens
A. Gaaei
A. Gaaei
A. Bouwman
⚽ ↓
A. Bouwman
Y. Baas
Y. Baas
Caio Henrique
Caio Henrique
A. Ouazane
⚽ ↓
A. Ouazane
J. Johnson
↓
J. Johnson
J. Mokio
↓
J. Mokio
M. Carrizo
↓
M. Carrizo
Marcos Leonardo
↓
Marcos Leonardo
O. Edvardsen
↓
O. Edvardsen
M. Weiss
M. Weiss
C. Roberts
↓
C. Roberts
K. Walker
↓
K. Walker
B. Humphreys
↓
B. Humphreys
Lucas Pires
↓
Lucas Pires
J. Laurent
↓
J. Laurent
H. Mejbri
↓
H. Mejbri
M. Edwards
↓
M. Edwards
A. Ramsey
↓
A. Ramsey
J. Bruun Larsen
↓
J. Bruun Larsen
J. Banel
⚽ ↓
J. Banel
Ajax 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Heerkens
↓ 46'
2
A. Gaaei
🟨 85'
3
A. Bouwman
⚽ 34' ↓ 46'
4
Y. Baas
5
Caio Henrique
10
A. Ouazane
⚽ 67' ↓ 69'
6
J. Johnson
↓ 46'
8
J. Mokio
↓ 61'
7
M. Carrizo
↓ 46'
9
Marcos Leonardo
↓ 46'
11
O. Edvardsen
↓ 69'
Substitutes
12
P. Reverson
↑ 46'
17
D. Blind
↑ 46'
16
K. Fitz-Jim
↑ 69'
15
M. Muzungu
23
S. Berghuis
↑ 69'
18
D. Klaassen
↑ 46'
22
L. Rosa
21
M. Godts
↑ 61'
20
O. Gloukh
19
D. Konadu
🎯 67' ↑ 46'
25
P. Nash
24
M. Abdalla
↑ 46'
Burnley 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Weiss
14
C. Roberts
↓ 68'
2
K. Walker
↓ 70'
12
B. Humphreys
↓ 85'
23
Lucas Pires
↓ 70'
29
J. Laurent
↓ 85'
28
H. Mejbri
↓ 85'
10
M. Edwards
↓ 46'
21
A. Ramsey
↓ 70'
7
J. Bruun Larsen
↓ 46'
11
J. Banel
⚽ 62' ↓ 70'
Substitutes
20
C. Edwards
31
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
↑ 46'
4
J. Worrall
↑ 68'
22
O. Sonne
↑ 70'
9
A. Hountondji
↑ 70'
15
L. Castell
↑ 70' 🟨 78'
16
S. Sambo
↑ 70'
30
L. Koleosho
🎯 62' ↑ 46'
5
M. Campbell
↑ 85'
25
K. McMahon-Brown
17
E. Clark
↑ 85'
3
O. Pimlott
8
G. Brierley
↑ 85'
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
Last matches: Burnley
16.08.26
Cha
Burnley
West Ham
2
2
D
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
H2H: Ajax vs Burnley
26.07.26
H2H
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
2
2
D
H2H at home: Ajax
26.07.26
H2H
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
Last matches: Burnley
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
2
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
3
2
W
05.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
1
5
L
H2H away: Burnley
26.07.26
H2H
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
L