26.07.2026 12:00
Johan Cruijff Arena
Referee: M. Nagtegaal
Ajax
Match Timeline
Burnley
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
A. Bouwman
Ajax
🔄
46'
Marcos Leonardo ↔ D. Konadu
Ajax
🔄
46'
J. Johnson ↔ M. Abdalla
Ajax
🔄
46'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Burnley
🔄
46'
M. Edwards ↔ L. Koleosho
Burnley
🔄
46'
A. Bouwman ↔ D. Blind
Ajax
🔄
46'
J. Heerkens ↔ P. Reverson
Ajax
🔄
46'
M. Carrizo ↔ D. Klaassen
Ajax
🔄
61'
J. Mokio ↔ M. Godts
Ajax
62'
J. Banel · Assist: L. Koleosho
Burnley
67'
A. Ouazane · Assist: D. Konadu
Ajax
🔄
68'
C. Roberts ↔ J. Worrall
Burnley
🔄
69'
A. Ouazane ↔ K. Fitz-Jim
Ajax
🔄
69'
O. Edvardsen ↔ S. Berghuis
Ajax
🔄
70'
Lucas Pires ↔ O. Sonne
Burnley
🔄
70'
J. Banel ↔ A. Hountondji
Burnley
🔄
70'
A. Ramsey ↔ L. Castell
Burnley
🔄
70'
K. Walker ↔ S. Sambo
Burnley
🟨
78'
L. Castell
Burnley
🟨
85'
A. Gaaei
Ajax
🔄
85'
B. Humphreys ↔ G. Brierley
Burnley
🔄
85'
J. Laurent ↔ E. Clark
Burnley
🔄
85'
H. Mejbri ↔ M. Campbell
Burnley

Ajax vs Burnley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 68.5%
Draw 13.6%
Burnley Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.12
Burnley1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax Ajax
WWDLW
14 GF / 8 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
10
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax Ajax 8 matches
Burnley Burnley 3 matches
Ajax Statistic Burnley
4 Wins 0
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
14 Goals For 3
8 Goals Against 8
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
10 Shots On Goal 0
18 Total Shots 0
10 Corners 0
66% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 1 times, Burnley won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Ajax's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / Burnley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 1, draws 0, Burnley wins 0