Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.01
AZ Alkmaar1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
58 GF / 28 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
31 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.64
Average Goals Scored
2.21
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
16
BTTS Yes
8
17
Over 2.5
7
9.08
Shots on Goal
6.88
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
22 matches
AZ Alkmaar
14 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 58 | Goals For | 31 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 2.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.21 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 9.08 | Shots On Goal | 6.88 |
| 24.46 | Total Shots | 18.5 |
| 8.54 | Corners | 8.13 |
| 65.2% | Ball Possession | 58.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 3 times, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Ajax's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 3, draws 4, AZ Alkmaar wins 8
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 18 | 17 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Home
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 11 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | -13 | 5 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie