Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax1.85
AZ Alkmaar1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
41 GF / 21 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
21 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.41
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
5
12
Over 2.5
5
9
Shots on Goal
8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
17 matches
AZ Alkmaar
9 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 41 | Goals For | 21 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 2.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots On Goal | 8 |
| 24.25 | Total Shots | 20.67 |
| 9 | Corners | 11 |
| 65% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 3 times, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Ajax's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 3, draws 4, AZ Alkmaar wins 8
Last matches: Ajax
27.08.26
UEF
Ajax
FC Sion
5
3
W
20.08.26
UEF
Ajax
FC Sion
4
2
W
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
22.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
15.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
4
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
2
0
W
02.08.26
Sup
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
2
W
22.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
3
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
H2H: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
08.02.26
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1
1
D
14.01.26
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
6
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
16.03.25
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
14.01.25
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
0
L
08.12.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
0
L
08.10.23
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.05.23
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
18.09.22
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
1
L
08.05.22
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
2
D
03.03.22
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0
2
W
12.12.21
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
25.04.21
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2
0
W
31.01.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0
3
W
Last matches: Ajax
27.08.26
UEF
Ajax
FC Sion
5
3
W
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
H2H at home: Ajax
18.10.25
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
16.03.25
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
08.10.23
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.05.23
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
12.12.21
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
25.04.21
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2
0
W
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
22.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
15.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
4
1
W
02.08.26
Sup
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
1
3
L
21.12.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
3
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Drita
3
0
W
30.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
H2H away: AZ Alkmaar
18.10.25
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
W
16.03.25
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
08.10.23
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
W
06.05.23
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
12.12.21
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
W
25.04.21
H2H
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2
0
L
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Ajax
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie