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03.10.2026 13:30
The Airfield
Referee: A. D. Livesey
Airbus UK
Match Timeline
Trefelin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
G. Peers
Airbus UK
⚽
20'
K. Cooke
Airbus UK
🔄
33'
T. Brock ↔ R. Piper
Trefelin
🟨
35'
J. Parry
Airbus UK
🟨
37'
K. Georgievsky
Trefelin
🔄
51'
L. Fallon ↔ J. Clement
Airbus UK
🟨
61'
B. Aman
Trefelin
🔄
64'
L. Caramella-Gerrard ↔ L. Phillips
Trefelin
⚽
67'
G. Peers
Airbus UK
🔄
71'
M. Blackwell-Jones ↔ J. Palmer
Airbus UK
🔄
71'
B. Aman ↔ C. Saunders
Trefelin
🔄
78'
K. Cooke ↔ J. Hughes
Airbus UK
🔄
78'
O. Calland ↔ N. Williams
Airbus UK
🟨
83'
L. Ware
Trefelin

Airbus UK vs Trefelin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Airbus UK Win 84.3%
Draw 6%
Trefelin Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Airbus UK2.31
Trefelin0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Airbus UK Airbus UK
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
Trefelin Trefelin
WLDWL
7 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
0.54
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
3
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Airbus UK Airbus UK 13 matches
Trefelin Trefelin 13 matches
Airbus UK Statistic Trefelin
7 Wins 0
0 Draws 3
6 Losses 10
24 Goals For 7
20 Goals Against 39
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.54
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 3
5 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Airbus UK's more proactive style and Trefelin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Airbus UK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 15 points compared to Trefelin in 13 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Trefelin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trefelin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Trefelin.

Airbus UK Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Airbus UK have collected 15 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Trefelin Analysis

Trefelin sit 13 with 3 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 4:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Airbus UK won 1 times, Trefelin won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Airbus UK's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Airbus UK wins 1, draws 0, Trefelin wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)