SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
02.08.2026 14:30
Strawberry Arena
Referee: Richard Sundell, Sweden
AIK Stockholm
Match Timeline
Orgryte IS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
AIK Stockholm
2'
N. Christoffersson · Assist: O. Parker-Price
Orgryte IS
23'
N. Christoffersson · Assist: W. Hofvander
Orgryte IS
🔄
33'
S. Papagiannopoulos ↔ W. Olofsson
AIK Stockholm
🔄
46'
L. Jareteg ↔ L. Carlstrand
AIK Stockholm
🔄
57'
A. Mujanic ↔ A. Ali
AIK Stockholm
🟨
63'
William Hofvander
Orgryte IS
68'
N. Christoffersson · Assist: O. Parker-Price
Orgryte IS
🔄
73'
L. Bergquist ↔ A. Helm
AIK Stockholm
🔄
73'
V. Andersson ↔ S. Gustafsson
AIK Stockholm
🔄
73'
W. Hofvander ↔ A. Andreasson
Orgryte IS
🔄
73'
M. Parker ↔ C. Vindehall
Orgryte IS
🟨
75'
Sebastian Lagerlund
Orgryte IS
🔄
80'
C. Styffe ↔ J. Azulay
Orgryte IS
🔄
80'
N. Christoffersson ↔ J. Tibbling
Orgryte IS
🟨
87'
Johan Hove
AIK Stockholm
🔄
90'
O. Parker-Price ↔ W. Kenndal
Orgryte IS

AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AIK Stockholm Win 83.9%
Draw 8%
Orgryte IS Win 8%
Expected Goals (xG)
AIK Stockholm1.78
Orgryte IS1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
WWDLW
34 GF / 38 GA
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
WLDWL
21 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
2.24
16
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
10
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 23 matches
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS 21 matches
AIK Stockholm Statistic Orgryte IS
9 Wins 4
6 Draws 6
8 Losses 11
34 Goals For 21
38 Goals Against 47
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 2.24
16 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 8
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.71
12.86 Total Shots 11
5.79 Corners 4.21
51.6% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orgryte IS. AIK Stockholm come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AIK Stockholm expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Orgryte IS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orgryte IS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. AIK Stockholm arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 21 points compared to Orgryte IS in 15 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

AIK Stockholm Analysis

From their first 13 matches, AIK Stockholm have collected 21 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:18 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Axel Kouame (1 goals), Victor Andersson (1 goals), Johan Hove (1 goals), with creative support from Taha Ayari (2 assists), Axel Kouame (1 assists), Victor Andersson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orgryte IS Analysis

Orgryte IS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 14:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Noah Christoffersson (2 goals), Adam Andersson (1 goals), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (1 goals), with creative support from Owen Parker-Price (2 assists), Adam Andersson (1 assists), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AIK Stockholm won 3 times, Orgryte IS won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from AIK Stockholm's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92%)
Predicted formations: AIK Stockholm 4-1-3-2 / Orgryte IS 3-4-3
Missing players: AIK Stockholm 10, Orgryte IS 3
H2H summary: AIK Stockholm wins 3, draws 0, Orgryte IS wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation