BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira
Águia de Marabá
Match Timeline
Oratório
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Felipe Para
Águia de Marabá
20'
JP Bardales
Águia de Marabá
35'
J. Leite
Oratório
84'
Diogo Carlos
Águia de Marabá
87'
Kaique
Águia de Marabá
90'
A. Silva
Águia de Marabá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Águia de Marabá Win 100%
Draw 0%
Oratório Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águia de Marabá1.68
Oratório1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá
WWDLW
8 GF / 5 GA
Oratório Oratório
WLDWL
5 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 5 matches
Oratório Oratório 5 matches
Águia de Marabá Statistic Oratório
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
8 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 9
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
4 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Águia de Marabá's more proactive style and Oratório's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Águia de Marabá arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 9 points compared to Oratório in 5 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oratório having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Oratório. Oratório arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Águia de Marabá Analysis

Águia de Marabá arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 9 points after 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 8:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Para (3 goals), Kukri (2 goals), A. Silva (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Oratório Analysis

Oratório approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 3 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Dayveson (2 goals), D. Santos Silva (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Águia de Marabá won 2 times, Oratório won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Águia de Marabá's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Águia de Marabá wins 2, draws 0, Oratório wins 0
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
12.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
4
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
05.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
6
0
W
Last matches: Oratório
06.06.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
22.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
H2H: Águia de Marabá vs Oratório
10.05.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
W
03.05.26
H2H
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
W
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
04.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
3
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
4
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
1
L
07.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
6
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
17.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
1
1
D
20.04.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
0
W
H2H at home: Águia de Marabá
10.05.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
W
Last matches: Oratório
06.06.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
1
7
L
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
H2H away: Oratório
10.05.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
L

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)