BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira
Águia de Marabá
Match Timeline
Imperatriz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
Felipe Para
Águia de Marabá
52'
Anderson Brito
Imperatriz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Águia de Marabá Win 49.8%
Draw 21.5%
Imperatriz Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águia de Marabá1.1
Imperatriz1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Imperatriz Imperatriz
WLDWL
3 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 2 matches
Imperatriz Imperatriz 2 matches
Águia de Marabá Statistic Imperatriz
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
3 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 1
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Imperatriz's more proactive style and Águia de Marabá's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Imperatriz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 4 points while Águia de Marabá sit 3 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Imperatriz having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Imperatriz. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Águia de Marabá Analysis

Placed 3 with 2 points from 2 outings, Águia de Marabá continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 3:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through PH (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Imperatriz Analysis

Imperatriz arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 4 points after 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 3:1 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Doda (1 goals), Gustavo Indio (1 goals), Wyldson (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Águia de Marabá won 1 times, Imperatriz won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Águia de Marabá's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
H2H summary: Águia de Marabá wins 1, draws 1, Imperatriz wins 0
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
12.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
4
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
05.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
6
0
W
Last matches: Imperatriz
12.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
H2H: Águia de Marabá vs Imperatriz
23.05.26
H2H
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
W
19.04.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
04.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
4
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
1
L
07.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
6
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
17.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
1
1
D
20.04.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
0
W
H2H at home: Águia de Marabá
19.04.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
Last matches: Imperatriz
12.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
0
3
L
27.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
0
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
0
3
L
08.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
3
2
W
24.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
0
3
L
20.04.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
0
0
D
H2H away: Imperatriz
19.04.26
H2H
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)