ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.27
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.28
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
6.53
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Afturelding Win 88%
Draw 6%
Vestri Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Afturelding2.69
Vestri1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Afturelding Afturelding
WWDLW
62 GF / 31 GA
Vestri Vestri
WLDWL
32 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
3.1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
13
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Afturelding Afturelding 20 matches
Vestri Vestri 24 matches
Afturelding Statistic Vestri
13 Wins 8
3 Draws 4
4 Losses 12
62 Goals For 32
31 Goals Against 50
3.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
13 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Afturelding's more proactive style and Vestri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Afturelding arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 39 points compared to Vestri in 9 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vestri having the stronger overall control. Vestri arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vestri. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Afturelding Analysis

Afturelding arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 39 points after 19 matches. The record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 60:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vestri Analysis

Vestri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 24 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 28:39 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Afturelding won 4 times, Vestri won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from Afturelding's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Afturelding wins 4, draws 4, Vestri wins 6
Last matches: Afturelding
25.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
2
0
W
21.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
7
0
W
17.08.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
2
2
D
13.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
3
3
D
07.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
4
1
W
29.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
1
4
L
16.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
11.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
6
1
W
03.07.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
8
1
W
26.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Njardvik
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
3
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
18.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
Last matches: Vestri
22.08.26
1.
Vestri
Leiknir R.
2
0
W
17.08.26
1.
Vestri
Völsungur
0
2
L
13.08.26
1.
Vestri
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
08.08.26
1.
Vestri
Njardvik
1
3
L
03.08.26
1.
Vestri
Grotta
0
3
L
30.07.26
UEF
Vestri
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Vestri
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
20.07.26
1.
Vestri
HK Kopavogur
2
6
L
16.07.26
UEF
Vestri
Qarabag
0
3
L
13.07.26
1.
Vestri
Fylkir
2
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Vestri
Qarabag
0
3
L
04.07.26
1.
Vestri
Grindavik
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Vestri
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
21.06.26
1.
Vestri
Afturelding
2
0
W
17.06.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
3
2
W
13.06.26
1.
Vestri
Leiknir R.
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Vestri
Völsungur
5
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Vestri
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Vestri
Njardvik
0
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Vestri
Grotta
3
5
L
H2H: Afturelding vs Vestri
21.06.26
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
2
0
L
19.10.25
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
2
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
1
0
L
16.08.23
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
2
2
D
10.06.23
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
3
1
W
16.07.22
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
1
4
W
24.05.22
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
2
3
W
14.05.22
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
13.03.22
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
0
W
31.08.21
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
2
2
D
23.06.21
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
2
L
12.06.21
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
2
1
L
14.11.20
H2H
Vestri
Afturelding
0
0
D
Last matches: Afturelding
25.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
2
0
W
17.08.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
2
2
D
07.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
4
1
W
16.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
29.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
8
1
W
26.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Njardvik
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
H2H at home: Afturelding
19.10.25
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
1
D
10.06.23
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
3
1
W
14.05.22
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
13.03.22
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
0
W
31.08.21
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
2
2
D
23.06.21
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
2
L
Last matches: Vestri
17.08.26
1.
Vestri
Völsungur
0
2
L
08.08.26
1.
Vestri
Njardvik
1
3
L
23.07.26
UEF
Vestri
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
20.07.26
1.
Vestri
HK Kopavogur
2
6
L
09.07.26
UEF
Vestri
Qarabag
0
3
L
04.07.26
1.
Vestri
Grindavik
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Vestri
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
13.06.26
1.
Vestri
Leiknir R.
0
1
L
31.05.26
1.
Vestri
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Vestri
Grotta
3
5
L
17.05.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
2
1
W
04.05.26
1.
Vestri
Fylkir
0
2
L
H2H away: Vestri
19.10.25
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
1
D
10.06.23
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
3
1
L
14.05.22
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
W
13.03.22
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
0
L
31.08.21
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
2
2
D
23.06.21
H2H
Afturelding
Vestri
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.12
Draw 6.49
Home 1.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.55
Draw 3.11
Home 1.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 3.0 1.34
Over 3.25 1.52
Over 3.5 1.69
Over 3.75 1.87
Over 4.0 2.10
Over 4.25 2.33
Over 4.5 2.57
Under 3.0 3.02
Under 3.25 2.42
Under 3.5 2.10
Under 3.75 1.92
Under 4.0 1.70
Under 4.25 1.55
Under 4.5 1.46
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 5.50
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.00
Home 1.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 3.50
Home 1.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 3.5 1.67
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 5.5 4.33
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 7.50
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.5 2.10
Under 4.5 1.50
Under 5.5 1.20
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.20
Draw 5.80
Home 1.24
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.91
Home 1.63
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.56
Draw 3.60
Home 1.47
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.02
Over 1.75 1.03
Over 2.0 1.04
Over 2.25 1.13
Over 2.5 1.22
Over 2.75 1.27
Over 3.0 1.32
Over 3.25 1.49
Over 3.5 1.67
Over 3.75 1.81
Over 4.0 2.00
Over 4.25 2.28
Over 4.5 2.46
Over 4.75 2.89
Over 5.0 3.50
Over 5.25 3.85
Over 5.5 4.15
Over 6.0 6.85
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 8.10
Under 1.75 7.60
Under 2.0 7.10
Under 2.25 4.61
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 2.75 3.22
Under 3.0 2.88
Under 3.25 2.35
Under 3.5 2.06
Under 3.75 1.85
Under 4.0 1.65
Under 4.25 1.55
Under 4.5 1.43
Under 4.75 1.33
Under 5.0 1.22
Under 5.25 1.18
Under 5.5 1.16
Under 6.0 1.04
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 5.10
Home 1.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 3.05
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.23
Over 3.5 1.61
Over 4.5 2.35
Over 5.5 3.75
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.5 2.08
Under 4.5 1.47
Under 5.5 1.20

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 3 4 62:31 31 42
W W D D W
2 21 12 4 5 48:25 23 40
W L W L D
3 21 13 1 7 48:34 14 40
W W L D L
4 20 11 2 7 47:35 12 35
W D W L L
5 20 11 2 7 36:26 10 35
W L W W W
6 21 8 3 10 36:41 -5 27
L L L D L
7 20 8 3 9 30:39 -9 27
W L W L L
8 20 7 4 9 30:30 0 25
L W L W L
9 20 7 4 9 36:41 -5 25
W W L W W
10 20 4 9 7 20:31 -11 21
L D W L W
11 20 5 5 10 27:43 -16 20
L W W W L
12 21 2 2 17 24:68 -44 8
L L L L L
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