ICELAND 1. DEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Afturelding
Match Timeline
Leiknir R.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
J. Holtan · Assist: B. Kooistra
Afturelding
10'
A. Hardarson
Leiknir R.
🟨
13'
S. Hugason
Afturelding
18'
O. Bjarkason · Assist: G. Bjarnason
Afturelding
🟨
39'
B. Burknason
Leiknir R.
63'
J. Holtan
Afturelding
🔄
66'
D. Vladisavljevic ↔ B. Bogdanovic
Leiknir R.
🔄
72'
S. Hugason ↔ B. Saevarsson
Afturelding
🔄
72'
E. Cogic ↔ J. Petursson
Afturelding
🔄
72'
B. Kooistra ↔ E. Cogic
Afturelding
🔄
84'
B. Burknason ↔ G. Agustsson
Leiknir R.
🔄
84'
D. Gunnarsson ↔ J. Tjorvason
Leiknir R.
🔄
84'
R. Gunnarsson ↔ A. Brynjarsson
Leiknir R.
🟨
86'
A. Brynjarsson
Leiknir R.
🔄
90+1'
↔ T. Thrainsson
Afturelding
90'
J. Tjorvason
Leiknir R.

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Afturelding Win 69.9%
Draw 3.5%
Leiknir R. Win 26.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Afturelding2.3
Leiknir R.1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Afturelding Afturelding
WWDLW
40 GF / 19 GA
Leiknir R. Leiknir R.
WLDWL
17 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
3.08
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Afturelding Afturelding 13 matches
Leiknir R. Leiknir R. 14 matches
Afturelding Statistic Leiknir R.
9 Wins 5
1 Draws 5
3 Losses 4
40 Goals For 17
19 Goals Against 16
3.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Afturelding arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 28 points compared to Leiknir R. in 7 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Afturelding come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leiknir R.. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Leiknir R. having the stronger overall control.

Afturelding Analysis

Afturelding approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 28 points after 13 outings. With 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:19, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Leiknir R. Analysis

Leiknir R. sit 7 with 19 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Afturelding won 6 times, Leiknir R. won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:28 from Afturelding's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
H2H summary: Afturelding wins 6, draws 3, Leiknir R. wins 6

Lineups

Afturelding
Formation
Leiknir R.
A. Johannesson
A. Johannesson
A. Andresson
A. Andresson
A. Saevarsson
A. Saevarsson
B. Kooistra
🎯
B. Kooistra
J. Holtan
⚽ 2
J. Holtan
E. Cogic
E. Cogic
O. Bjarkason
O. Bjarkason
B. B. Barkarson
B. B. Barkarson
S. Hugason
S. Hugason
G. Bjarnason
🎯
G. Bjarnason
A. Hoti
A. Hoti
O. Olafsson
O. Olafsson
D. Halldorsson
D. Halldorsson
B. Burknason
B. Burknason
R. Gunnarsson
R. Gunnarsson
A. Hardarson
A. Hardarson
D. Gunnarsson
D. Gunnarsson
T. Jonsson
T. Jonsson
G. Stefansson
G. Stefansson
A. Agustsson
A. Agustsson
D. Vladisavljevic
D. Vladisavljevic
A. Kjartansson
A. Kjartansson
Afturelding 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Johannesson
3
A. Andresson
6
A. Saevarsson
8
B. Kooistra
🎯 5' ↓ 72'
9
J. Holtan
⚽ 5' ⚽ 63'
10
E. Cogic
↓ 72'
11
O. Bjarkason
⚽ 18'
16
B. B. Barkarson
19
S. Hugason
↓ 72' 🟨 13'
25
G. Bjarnason
🎯 18'
33
A. Hoti
Substitutes
85
K. Sigurkarlsson
2
B. Saevarsson
↑ 72'
4
G. Sigmarsson
5
J. Petursson
↑ 72'
24
T. Thrainsson
↑ 90+1'
27
E. Cogic
↑ 72'
79
R. Dadason
Leiknir R. 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Olafsson
5
D. Halldorsson
7
B. Burknason
↓ 84' 🟨 39'
15
R. Gunnarsson
↓ 84'
19
A. Hardarson
⚽ 10'
20
D. Gunnarsson
↓ 84'
22
T. Jonsson
29
G. Stefansson
33
A. Agustsson
45
D. Vladisavljevic
↓ 66'
55
A. Kjartansson
Substitutes
12
J. Gorski
3
B. Bogdanovic
↑ 66'
8
G. Agustsson
↑ 84'
9
J. Tjorvason
⚽ 90' ↑ 84'
11
A. Brynjarsson
↑ 84' 🟨 86'
16
V. Petursson
43
K. S. Hlifarsson
Last matches: Afturelding
11.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
6
1
W
03.07.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
8
1
W
26.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Njardvik
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
3
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
18.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
Last matches: Leiknir R.
23.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
6
L
10.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
0
1
L
04.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
3
3
D
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
H2H: Afturelding vs Leiknir R.
16.07.26
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
08.05.26
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
W
08.08.24
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
1
4
W
23.02.24
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
3
D
24.09.23
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
20.09.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
1
2
W
26.08.23
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
0
2
L
23.06.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
2
2
D
09.03.22
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
0
5
L
26.09.20
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
3
0
L
27.07.20
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
2
3
L
28.02.20
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
2
1
L
16.07.19
H2H
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
3
2
L
Last matches: Afturelding
29.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
8
1
W
26.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Njardvik
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
H2H at home: Afturelding
16.07.26
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
08.08.24
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
23.02.24
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
3
D
24.09.23
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
0
2
L
09.03.22
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
0
5
L
27.07.20
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
2
3
L
Last matches: Leiknir R.
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
H2H away: Leiknir R.
16.07.26
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
2
L
08.08.24
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
23.02.24
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
3
D
24.09.23
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
L
26.08.23
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
0
2
W
09.03.22
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
0
5
W
27.07.20
H2H
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
2
3
W

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:21 22 31
W W W W W
2 15 9 3 3 32:15 17 30
W W D L D
3 14 10 0 4 32:20 12 30
W W W L W
4 15 9 1 5 36:26 10 28
W W W L W
5 14 7 1 6 29:28 1 22
W L W W D
6 15 6 3 6 26:31 -5 21
L L D D W
7 14 6 2 6 20:19 1 20
L W W L W
8 15 5 4 6 20:24 -4 19
L L L D W
9 14 2 8 4 15:18 -3 14
D W L D D
10 15 3 4 8 25:36 -11 13
D L D L L
11 14 1 5 8 17:34 -17 8
L L D D D
12 15 2 2 11 19:42 -23 8
L L L L D
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