ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.4%
1.60
BTTS Yes
88%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.28
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.86
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Afturelding Win 71.4%
Draw 3.3%
HK Kopavogur Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Afturelding2.53
HK Kopavogur2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Afturelding Afturelding
WWDLW
51 GF / 29 GA
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur
WLDWL
42 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
12
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Afturelding Afturelding 17 matches
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 18 matches
Afturelding Statistic HK Kopavogur
11 Wins 10
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 7
51 Goals For 42
29 Goals Against 33
3 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
12 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HK Kopavogur. Afturelding come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HK Kopavogur having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Afturelding Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 34 points from 16 games, Afturelding bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 11 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 48:26 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

HK Kopavogur Analysis

HK Kopavogur approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 28 points after 17 outings. With 9 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Afturelding won 0 times, HK Kopavogur won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:16 from Afturelding's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
H2H summary: Afturelding wins 0, draws 1, HK Kopavogur wins 6
Last matches: Afturelding
13.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
3
3
D
07.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
4
1
W
29.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
1
4
L
16.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
11.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
6
1
W
03.07.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
8
1
W
26.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Njardvik
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
3
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
18.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
13.08.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
2
1
W
09.08.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
2
3
L
24.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
3
L
20.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
6
2
W
14.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
5
1
W
10.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
4
3
W
03.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
1
2
L
26.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grindavik
2
2
D
12.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
1
4
L
27.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
1
3
L
18.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
0
W
09.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
3
4
L
01.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
4
1
W
H2H: Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur
05.06.26
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
1
L
09.03.25
H2H
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
05.08.22
H2H
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
0
1
L
27.05.22
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
0
L
20.02.21
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
0
L
30.07.20
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
6
2
L
22.02.19
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
1
1
D
Last matches: Afturelding
07.08.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
4
1
W
16.07.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
29.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
8
1
W
26.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Njardvik
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
H2H at home: Afturelding
09.03.25
H2H
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
05.08.22
H2H
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
0
1
L
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
09.08.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
2
3
L
24.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
3
L
10.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
4
3
W
03.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
1
2
L
26.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
0
W
12.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
31.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
1
4
L
22.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
1
3
L
09.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
3
4
L
H2H away: HK Kopavogur
09.03.25
H2H
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
W
05.08.22
H2H
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 4.63
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.26
Draw 2.87
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 3.0 1.36
Over 3.25 1.52
Over 3.5 1.69
Over 3.75 1.85
Over 4.0 2.07
Over 4.25 2.29
Over 4.5 2.52
Under 3.0 2.98
Under 3.25 2.43
Under 3.5 2.13
Under 3.75 1.95
Under 4.0 1.73
Under 4.25 1.58
Under 4.5 1.49
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 4.20
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.75
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.10
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 3.5 1.67
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 5.5 4.00
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 34.00
Under 1.5 7.50
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.5 2.10
Under 4.5 1.50
Under 5.5 1.22
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 4.25
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.62
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.18
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.03
Over 1.75 1.04
Over 2.0 1.05
Over 2.25 1.15
Over 2.5 1.24
Over 2.75 1.29
Over 3.0 1.33
Over 3.25 1.51
Over 3.5 1.66
Over 3.75 1.81
Over 4.0 1.98
Over 4.25 2.21
Over 4.5 2.41
Over 4.75 2.75
Over 5.0 3.34
Over 5.25 3.58
Over 5.5 3.90
Over 6.0 6.10
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 20.00
Under 1.0 14.50
Under 1.5 7.20
Under 1.75 6.80
Under 2.0 6.40
Under 2.25 4.34
Under 2.5 3.34
Under 2.75 3.10
Under 3.0 2.81
Under 3.25 2.33
Under 3.5 2.07
Under 3.75 1.87
Under 4.0 1.67
Under 4.25 1.56
Under 4.5 1.45
Under 4.75 1.36
Under 5.0 1.24
Under 5.25 1.21
Under 5.5 1.18
Under 6.0 1.06
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 4.00
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.75
Home 2.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.26
Over 3.5 1.66
Over 4.5 2.48
Under 2.5 3.25
Under 3.5 2.00
Under 4.5 1.43

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 2 4 51:29 22 35
D W L W W
2 18 10 4 4 38:19 19 34
L D W W W
3 18 11 1 6 38:29 9 34
D L W L W
4 18 10 2 6 31:23 8 32
W W W W L
5 18 10 1 7 42:33 9 31
W L L W W
6 17 8 2 7 34:33 1 26
L D W W L
7 18 7 3 8 28:37 -9 24
W L L L L
8 18 6 4 8 24:27 -3 22
L W L L L
9 18 4 8 6 19:25 -6 20
W L W L D
10 18 5 4 9 30:39 -9 19
L W W D L
11 18 4 5 9 25:39 -14 17
W W L W L
12 18 2 2 14 21:48 -27 8
L L L L L
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