ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
03.10.2026 14:00
Plough Lane

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AFC Wimbledon Win 46.7%
Draw 16.7%
Stevenage Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Wimbledon1.02
Stevenage1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
Stevenage Stevenage
WLDWL
13 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
2.63
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 13 matches
Stevenage Stevenage 11 matches
AFC Wimbledon Statistic Stevenage
5 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 3
12 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 13
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
2.63 Shots On Goal 3.86
10.5 Total Shots 10.43
5 Corners 4.14
45.4% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 1 times, Stevenage won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:24 from AFC Wimbledon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: AFC Wimbledon 5-4-1 / Stevenage -
H2H summary: AFC Wimbledon wins 1, draws 4, Stevenage wins 8

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
5 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
6 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
7 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
8 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
9 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two