Login Register
10.10.2026 14:00
Hornchurch Stadium
AFC Hornchurch
Match Timeline
Eastleigh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
D. Poleon · Assist: W. Greenidge
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
32'
J. Cousins ↔ W. Randall
Eastleigh
🟨
36'
H. Hearn
AFC Hornchurch
🟨
38'
H. Sandat
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
46'
H. Sandat ↔ M. Weston
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
46'
H. Hearn ↔ R. Loft
AFC Hornchurch
🟨
48'
T. Dallison
AFC Hornchurch
⚽
62'
J. Baldwin · Assist: A. Massey
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
65'
O. Hawkins ↔ D. Rankine
Eastleigh
🔄
65'
R. Johnson ↔ S. Bamey
Eastleigh
🔄
70'
D. Poleon ↔ J. Walker
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
70'
T. Wraight ↔ A. Balanta
AFC Hornchurch
🟨
74'
M. Dickov
Eastleigh
🟨
77'
R. Loft
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
84'
M. Dickov ↔ C. Underhill
Eastleigh
🟨
87'
A. Blair
Eastleigh

AFC Hornchurch vs Eastleigh Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AFC Hornchurch Win 76.6%
Draw 5.4%
Eastleigh Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Hornchurch1.56
Eastleigh1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
L W L W L
3 GF / 8 GA
Eastleigh Eastleigh
L D L W L
5 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
8
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 20 matches
Eastleigh Eastleigh 18 matches
AFC Hornchurch Statistic Eastleigh
11 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
7 Losses 11
29 Goals For 17
26 Goals Against 31
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
8 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Eastleigh. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Eastleigh having the stronger overall control.

AFC Hornchurch Analysis

AFC Hornchurch sit 12 with 18 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Eastleigh Analysis

With 15 points from 12 games and a place of 17, Eastleigh still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: AFC Hornchurch 3-4-3 / Eastleigh 4-4-2

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 2 0 44:17 27 44
W W W W W
2 16 10 2 4 34:23 11 32
D L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 38:27 11 29
L D D W W
4 16 9 2 5 30:24 6 29
W W L W L
5 16 8 4 4 35:20 15 28
L W L W W
6 16 8 4 4 32:25 7 28
L D W W W
7 16 9 1 6 24:24 0 28
L D W W L
8 16 7 5 4 32:23 9 26
W W W D W
9 15 7 4 4 26:19 7 25
D W W W W
10 16 7 3 6 28:20 8 24
W L D W W
11 16 7 3 6 20:21 -1 24
W W L L D
12 16 6 3 7 25:24 1 21
W L W L W
13 16 5 6 5 17:16 1 21
L D L D D
14 16 6 3 7 19:19 0 21
W L L L L
15 16 7 0 9 18:26 -8 21
L L L W L
16 14 5 4 5 23:24 -1 19
D W L D D
17 16 5 4 7 19:25 -6 19
D L W L L
18 16 5 3 8 23:29 -6 18
W L W L L
19 16 5 3 8 21:29 -8 18
W W L L L
20 15 5 2 8 25:32 -7 17
L W L W W
21 16 5 0 11 18:27 -9 15
L L W W L
22 16 4 1 11 19:40 -21 13
W W L L L
23 15 3 1 11 19:30 -11 10
L L L L L
24 15 1 1 13 9:34 -25 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation